AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
AMD has the edge over MSI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
MSI
Motorola Solutions, Inc.
MSI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AMD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
MSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
MSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
AMD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 39x | $585 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $182 | -69% |
| Fair | 112x | $514 | -12% |
| Current | 127x | $585 | — |
| Expensive | 206x | $947 | +62% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 31x | $385 | -27% |
| Fair | 35x | $434 | -18% |
| Expensive | 39x | $482 | -9.1% |
| Current | 43x | $530 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSI has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AMD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSI Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSI to show an outlook.
AMD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.05 | +227% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.60 | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +122% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.05 | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.65 | +165% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.03 | +81% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.75 | +111% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.37 | +99% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.00 | +89% |
AMD has the edge over MSI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.42 | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.69 | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.40 | +3.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.75 | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.47 | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.43 | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.99 | +48% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.23 | -7% |
MSI earned $12.42 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
AMD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.4B | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.5B | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.3B | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.3B | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.2B | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.4B | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.7B | +24% |
AMD has the edge over MSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7% | -6.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +5.8 points |
AMD's operating margin was 21% last quarter, up 7.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.4B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $3B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.8B | +5.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +5.7% |
MSI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 28% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 27% | +1.1 points |
MSI has the edge over AMD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AMD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $554M | -71% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +253% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +118% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +283% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +294% |
| Q1 2025 | $727M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +351% |
AMD has the edge over MSI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $589M | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $414M | +84% |
| Q1 2026 | $389M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $732M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $225M | +101% |
| Q1 2025 | $473M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $984M | -15% |
MSI generated $2.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5% from the year before.
AMD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +20M shares |
| 3 years | +2% | +32M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +431M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +473M shares |
AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $221M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $89M |
| Q2 2025 | $478M |
| Q1 2025 | $749M |
| Q4 2024 | $256M |
AMD has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +200K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -1.6M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -4.3M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -6.7M shares |
| Available history | -4.7% | -8.2M shares |
MSI has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $94M |
| Q2 2026 | $331M |
| Q1 2026 | $118M |
| Q4 2025 | $490M |
| Q3 2025 | $121M |
| Q2 2025 | $218M |
| Q1 2025 | $325M |
| Q4 2024 | $103M |
MSI spent $1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 35% from the year before.
AMD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
AMD has more cash than debt.
MSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3x | Healthy |
MSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
AMD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.4 | Neutral |
AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
MSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 81.5 | Overbought |
MSI's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
AMD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AMD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 127x | 28x | 357% above |
| PE % | 61 | 35 | 26 pts above |
AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43x | 28x | 53% above |
| PE % | 86 | 35 | 51 pts above |
MSI has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.
AMD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $557.2 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $525.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $389.7 | 50% above |
| 100 week MA | $266.9 | 119% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.6 | 193% above |
AMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 193% above its 200-week average.
MSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $478.7 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $461.8 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $434.8 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $434.6 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $387.3 | 37% above |
MSI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% above its 200-week average.
AMD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.2 | $91.8 | +99% |
| 2021 | $91.8 | $146.1 | +59% |
| 2022 | $146.1 | $64.5 | -56% |
| 2023 | $64.5 | $147.4 | +128% |
| 2024 | $147.4 | $125.2 | -15% |
| 2025 | $125.2 | $215.0 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $215.0 | $585.3 | +172% |
AMD has the edge over MSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $161.5 | $168.5 | +4.3% |
| 2021 | $168.5 | $262.9 | +56% |
| 2022 | $262.9 | $256.6 | -2.4% |
| 2023 | $256.6 | $313.1 | +22% |
| 2024 | $313.1 | $467.3 | +49% |
| 2025 | $467.3 | $377.0 | -19% |
| 2026 YTD | $377.0 | $530.4 | +41% |
MSI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.