AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over IPGP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

IPGP

IPG Photonics Corporation

57
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IPGP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IPGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

IPGP's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

IPGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x162x216x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$19.24-73%
Forward35x$70.86—
Fair47x$43.25-39%
Current76x$70.86—
Expensive111x$103+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IPGP has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IPGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IPGP, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD trails IPGP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IPGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$118.06
Downside-15%$60.09

Calculated from the latest close: $70.86 on Nov 12.

IPGP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AMD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over IPGP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.63Q1 2024: $3.89Q2 2024: $3.03Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-4.09Q1 2025: $-4.52Q2 2025: $-4.81Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.73Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.64Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+118%
Q3 2026$0.93+33%
Q2 2026$0.64+$5.45
Q1 2026$0.68+$5.20
Q4 2025$0.73+$4.82
Q3 2025$0.70+$4.16
Q2 2025-$4.81-259%
Q1 2025-$4.52-216%
Q4 2024-$4.09-188%

IPGP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.93 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over IPGP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
Q4 2023: $299MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $258MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $228MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $251MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $288M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$287.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.6M+11%
Q1 2026$265.5M+17%
Q4 2025$274.5M+17%
Q3 2025$250.8M+7.6%
Q2 2025$250.7M-2.7%
Q1 2025$227.8M-9.6%
Q4 2024$234.3M-22%

IPGP's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $288M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over IPGP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IPGP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $29MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.8M+98%
Q2 2026$17.1M+$34.7M
Q1 2026-$21.8M-$10.4M
Q4 2025$10.9M-78%
Q3 2025$14.6M-66%
Q2 2025-$17.6M-160%
Q1 2025-$11.4M-143%
Q4 2024$50.6M-37%

IPGP still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $35M over the past year.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

IPGP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-72.9K shares
1 year+0.7%+284K shares
3 years-9.6%-4.5M shares
5 years-20%-11M shares
Available history-20%-11M shares

IPGP has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

IPGP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -4.0xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: -5.1xQ1 2026: -6.8xQ2 2026: -5.3xQ3 2026: -8.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.7xNet Cash

IPGP has more cash than debt.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

IPGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

IPGP's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IPGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIPGPSector medianRelative
PE76x28x173% above
PE %763541 pts above

IPGP has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over IPGP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IPGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.94.1% below
20 week MA$82.314% below
50 week MA$97.227% below
100 week MA$84.616% below
200 week MA$90.922% below

IPGP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over IPGP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IPGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$143.9$221.0+54%
2021$221.0$168.9-24%
2022$168.9$92.9-45%
2023$92.9$108.5+17%
2024$108.5$73.4-32%
2025$73.4$75.2+2.4%
2026 YTD$75.2$70.9-5.7%

IPGP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.7% so far in 2026.

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