AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over GCT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GCT

GigaCloud Technology Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

GCT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GCT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

GCT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

GCT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$31.18-52%
Fair9.6x$44.23-32%
Forward12x$64.79—
Expensive13x$58.32-10%
Current14x$64.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCT has the edge over AMD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GCT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCT, with profitability improving.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GCT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GCT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$107.72
Downside-36%$41.55

Calculated from the latest close: $64.79 on Nov 12.

GCT trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over GCT on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GCT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.34Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.95Q2 2026: $4.20Q3 2026: $4.62Forward: $5.61
Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.57Q2 2024: $2.77Q3 2024: $3.16Q4 2024: $3.05Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.33Q3 2025: $3.34Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.95Q2 2026: $4.20Q3 2026: $4.62Forward: $5.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.61+21%
Q3 2026$4.62+38%
Q2 2026$4.20+26%
Q1 2026$3.95+29%
Q4 2025$3.59+18%
Q3 2025$3.34+5.7%
Q2 2025$3.33+20%
Q1 2025$3.07+19%
Q4 2024$3.05+33%

GCT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.62 over the past year, up 38% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over GCT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

GCT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $303MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: $272MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $412MQ3 2026: $424M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $311MQ3 2024: $303MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: $272MQ2 2025: $323MQ3 2025: $333MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $412MQ3 2026: $424M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$423.6M+27%
Q2 2026$411.6M+28%
Q1 2026$359.5M+32%
Q4 2025$362.7M+23%
Q3 2025$332.6M+9.7%
Q2 2025$322.6M+3.8%
Q1 2025$271.9M+8.3%
Q4 2024$295.8M+21%

GCT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $424M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over GCT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GCT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$55.8M-28%
Q2 2026$45.1M+22%
Q1 2026-$26.2M-472%
Q4 2025$61.7M-7.9%
Q3 2025$77.1M+50%
Q2 2025$37M+187%
Q1 2025$7M-38%
Q4 2024$66.9M+42%

GCT generated $136M in free cash flow over the past year, down 27% from the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

GCT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-722K shares
1 year-4.7%-1.8M shares
3 years-12%-5.1M shares
5 years-11%-4.4M shares
Available history+277%+26.3M shares

GCT has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

GCT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.9xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.9xNet Cash

GCT has more cash than debt.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

GCT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.7Overbought
Stochastic79.3Neutral

GCT's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GCT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGCTSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %914348 pts above

GCT has the edge over AMD on valuation relative to its sector.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 193% above its 200-week average.

GCT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.812% above
20 week MA$50.628% above
50 week MA$44.246% above
100 week MA$33.196% above
200 week MA$25.6153% above

GCT is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 153% above its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over GCT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GCT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$48.0$5.53-88%
2023$5.53$18.3+231%
2024$18.3$17.6-4%
2025$17.6$40.2+129%
2026 YTD$40.2$64.8+61%

GCT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +231% in 2023 to −88% in 2022. It's up 61% so far in 2026.

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