AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over FOUR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

FOUR

Shift4 Payments, Inc.

55
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

FOUR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

FOUR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

FOUR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

FOUR PE Valuation

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

AMD has the edge over FOUR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

FOUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FOUR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FOUR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FOUR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$64.38
Downside-34%$27.23

Calculated from the latest close: $41.52 on Nov 12.

FOUR trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 127% for AMD versus FOUR up 5%.

FOUR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.48Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $1.69Forward: $7.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.29+331%
Q3 2024$1.69+5%
Q2 2024$1.64+3.1%
Q1 2024$1.48+14%
Q4 2023$1.36+37%
Q3 2023$1.61+360%
Q2 2023$1.59+$1.94
Q1 2023$1.30+$1.73
Q4 2022$0.99+$1.91

FOUR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.69 over the past year, up 5% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since early 2022.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over FOUR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

FOUR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $705MQ1 2024: $707MQ2 2024: $827MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $887MQ1 2025: $848MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+34%
Q1 2026$1.1B+32%
Q4 2025$1.2B+34%
Q3 2025$1.2B+29%
Q2 2025$966.2M+17%
Q1 2025$848.3M+20%
Q4 2024$887M+26%

FOUR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $1.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over FOUR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FOUR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $264MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $128MQ2 2026: $57MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216M-21%
Q2 2026$57M-39%
Q1 2026$128M+186%
Q4 2025$222.5M+55%
Q3 2025$272.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$93M+24%
Q1 2025$44.8M-50%
Q4 2024$143.8M+97%

FOUR generated $624M in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has 1.7B diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

FOUR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 79MQ2 2026: 79MQ3 2026: 75M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.1%-4M shares
1 year-16%-14.3M shares
3 years-11%-9.5M shares
5 years-7.4%-6M shares

FOUR has the edge over AMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

FOUR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 5.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20245.6xHigh

FOUR's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

FOUR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

FOUR's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

FOUR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricFOURSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

FOUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over FOUR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

FOUR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.84.3% above
20 week MA$44.05.7% below
50 week MA$48.514% below
100 week MA$69.740% below
200 week MA$70.341% below

FOUR has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 41% below its 200-week average.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over FOUR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FOUR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$71.8+114%
2021$71.8$59.2-18%
2022$59.2$54.1-8.6%
2023$54.1$74.3+38%
2024$74.3$104.7+41%
2025$104.7$65.2-38%
2026 YTD$65.2$41.5-36%

FOUR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 36% so far in 2026.

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