ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
ALV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
ALV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $119 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $105 | -12% |
| Current | 14x | $119 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $144 | +21% |
| Expensive | 31x | $262 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALV has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ALV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ALV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.23 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.33 | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.48 | -6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.29 | +7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.55 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.65 | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.11 | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.66 | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +41% |
ALV has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
ALV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | -4.9% |
ALV has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.9% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +4.9 points |
ALV has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
ALV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $340M | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | -$161M | -$136M |
| Q4 2025 | $426M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $152M | +390% |
| Q2 2025 | $163M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | -$25M | -$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $281M | -4.4% |
ALV generated $729M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
ALV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -12.1M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -14.8M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -14.5M shares |
ALV has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $100M |
| Q2 2025 | $51M |
| Q1 2025 | $50M |
| Q4 2024 | $102M |
ALV spent $500M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 65% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
ALV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over ALV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ALV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.1 | Neutral |
ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ALV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 21% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
ALV has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
ALV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.2 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $119.1 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $118.8 | 0% above |
| 100 week MA | $112.6 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.5 | 12% above |
ALV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over ALV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ALV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $85.7 | $92.6 | +8% |
| 2021 | $92.6 | $101.1 | +9.2% |
| 2022 | $101.1 | $74.6 | -26% |
| 2023 | $74.6 | $110.2 | +48% |
| 2024 | $110.2 | $94.4 | -14% |
| 2025 | $94.4 | $120.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $120.4 | $118.9 | -1.3% |
ALV has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.