ALV

Autoliv, Inc.

64
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ALV's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 28%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 9.1%. At 14x earnings, it's trading below its usual 17x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ALV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ALV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$119—
Cheap13x$105-12%
Current14x$119—
Fair17x$144+21%
Expensive31x$262+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALV's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ALV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ALV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$146.35
Downside-14%$102.17

Calculated from the latest close: $118.86 on Nov 12.

ALV's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +23% against −14%.

ALV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.23+35%
Q3 2026$8.33-14%
Q2 2026$8.48-6.9%
Q1 2026$9.29+7.3%
Q4 2025$9.55+19%
Q3 2025$9.65+26%
Q2 2025$9.11+22%
Q1 2025$8.66+36%
Q4 2024$8.04+41%

ALV earned $8.33 per share over the past year, down 14% from the year before.

ALV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-0.5%
Q2 2026$2.8B+3.3%
Q1 2026$2.8B+6.8%
Q4 2025$2.8B+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.7B+5.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.6B-1.4%
Q4 2024$2.6B-4.9%

ALV's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ALV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$124M-18%
Q2 2026$340M+109%
Q1 2026-$161M-$136M
Q4 2025$426M+52%
Q3 2025$152M+390%
Q2 2025$163M-12%
Q1 2025-$25M-$7M
Q4 2024$281M-4.4%

ALV generated $729M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

ALV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.3M shares
1 year-5%-3.8M shares
3 years-14%-12.1M shares
5 years-17%-14.8M shares
Available history-17%-14.5M shares

ALV has 73M diluted shares, down 5% from a year ago, with $500M in buybacks over the past year.

ALV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ALV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic64.1Neutral

ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricALVSector medianRelative
PE14x18x21% below
PE %38479 pts below

ALV is trading at 14x earnings, a 21% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ALV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.22.3% above
20 week MA$119.10.2% below
50 week MA$118.80% above
100 week MA$112.65.5% above
200 week MA$106.512% above

ALV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

ALV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.7$92.6+8%
2021$92.6$101.1+9.2%
2022$101.1$74.6-26%
2023$74.6$110.2+48%
2024$110.2$94.4-14%
2025$94.4$120.4+28%
2026 YTD$120.4$118.9-1.3%

ALV has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 1.3% so far in 2026.

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