ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ALV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ALV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $119 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $105 | -12% |
| Current | 14x | $119 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $144 | +21% |
| Expensive | 31x | $262 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALV's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over ALV on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ALV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.23 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.33 | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.48 | -6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.29 | +7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.55 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.65 | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.11 | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.66 | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +41% |
ALV has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
ALV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | -4.9% |
ALV's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.9% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +4.9 points |
ALV has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over ALV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ALV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $340M | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | -$161M | -$136M |
| Q4 2025 | $426M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $152M | +390% |
| Q2 2025 | $163M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | -$25M | -$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $281M | -4.4% |
ALV has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
ALV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -12.1M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -14.8M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -14.5M shares |
ALV has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $100M |
| Q2 2025 | $51M |
| Q1 2025 | $50M |
| Q4 2024 | $102M |
ALV spent $500M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 65% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ALV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ALV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.1 | Neutral |
ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ALV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 21% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
ALV is trading at 14x earnings, a 21% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.2 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $119.1 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $118.8 | 0% above |
| 100 week MA | $112.6 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.5 | 12% above |
ALV has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
ALV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $85.7 | $92.6 | +8% |
| 2021 | $92.6 | $101.1 | +9.2% |
| 2022 | $101.1 | $74.6 | -26% |
| 2023 | $74.6 | $110.2 | +48% |
| 2024 | $110.2 | $94.4 | -14% |
| 2025 | $94.4 | $120.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $120.4 | $118.9 | -1.3% |
ALV has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.