ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ALV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ALV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $119 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $105 | -12% |
| Current | 14x | $119 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $144 | +21% |
| Expensive | 31x | $262 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALV's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over ALV on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ALV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.23 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.33 | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.48 | -6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.29 | +7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.55 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.65 | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.11 | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.66 | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +41% |
ALV has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
ALV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | -4.9% |
ALV's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.9% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +4.9 points |
ALV has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over ALV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ALV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $340M | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | -$161M | -$136M |
| Q4 2025 | $426M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $152M | +390% |
| Q2 2025 | $163M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | -$25M | -$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $281M | -4.4% |
ALV generated $729M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over ALV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -12.1M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -14.8M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -14.5M shares |
ALV has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $100M |
| Q2 2025 | $51M |
| Q1 2025 | $50M |
| Q4 2024 | $102M |
ALV spent $500M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 65% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ALV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ALV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.1 | Neutral |
ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ALV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 21% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
ALV is trading at 14x earnings, a 21% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.2 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $119.1 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $118.8 | 0% above |
| 100 week MA | $112.6 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.5 | 12% above |
ALV has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
ALV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $85.7 | $92.6 | +8% |
| 2021 | $92.6 | $101.1 | +9.2% |
| 2022 | $101.1 | $74.6 | -26% |
| 2023 | $74.6 | $110.2 | +48% |
| 2024 | $110.2 | $94.4 | -14% |
| 2025 | $94.4 | $120.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $120.4 | $118.9 | -1.3% |
ALV has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.