ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
F
Ford Motor Company
F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
ALV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ALV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $119 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $105 | -12% |
| Current | 14x | $119 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $144 | +21% |
| Expensive | 31x | $262 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALV's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ALV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.23 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.33 | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.48 | -6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.29 | +7.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.55 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.65 | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.11 | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.66 | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.04 | +41% |
ALV has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ALV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +3.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | -4.9% |
ALV has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.9% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +4.9 points |
ALV has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ALV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $340M | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | -$161M | -$136M |
| Q4 2025 | $426M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $152M | +390% |
| Q2 2025 | $163M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | -$25M | -$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $281M | -4.4% |
ALV generated $729M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over ALV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -12.1M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -14.8M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -14.5M shares |
ALV has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $150M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $100M |
| Q2 2025 | $51M |
| Q1 2025 | $50M |
| Q4 2024 | $102M |
ALV spent $500M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 65% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
ALV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over ALV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ALV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.1 | Neutral |
ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ALV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 21% below |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
ALV is trading at 14x earnings, a 21% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.2 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $119.1 | 0.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $118.8 | 0% above |
| 100 week MA | $112.6 | 5.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.5 | 12% above |
ALV has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
ALV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $85.7 | $92.6 | +8% |
| 2021 | $92.6 | $101.1 | +9.2% |
| 2022 | $101.1 | $74.6 | -26% |
| 2023 | $74.6 | $110.2 | +48% |
| 2024 | $110.2 | $94.4 | -14% |
| 2025 | $94.4 | $120.4 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $120.4 | $118.9 | -1.3% |
ALV has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.