ALV

Autoliv, Inc.

64
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ALV has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ALV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

ALV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$119—
Cheap13x$105-12%
Current14x$119—
Fair17x$144+21%
Expensive31x$262+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALV has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ALV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

ALV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$146.35
Downside-14%$102.17

Calculated from the latest close: $118.86 on Nov 12.

ALV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails ALV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ALV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.23+35%
Q3 2026$8.33-14%
Q2 2026$8.48-6.9%
Q1 2026$9.29+7.3%
Q4 2025$9.55+19%
Q3 2025$9.65+26%
Q2 2025$9.11+22%
Q1 2025$8.66+36%
Q4 2024$8.04+41%

ALV has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

ALV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-0.5%
Q2 2026$2.8B+3.3%
Q1 2026$2.8B+6.8%
Q4 2025$2.8B+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.7B+5.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.6B-1.4%
Q4 2024$2.6B-4.9%

ALV's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over ALV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$124M-18%
Q2 2026$340M+109%
Q1 2026-$161M-$136M
Q4 2025$426M+52%
Q3 2025$152M+390%
Q2 2025$163M-12%
Q1 2025-$25M-$7M
Q4 2024$281M-4.4%

ALV generated $729M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over ALV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.3M shares
1 year-5%-3.8M shares
3 years-14%-12.1M shares
5 years-17%-14.8M shares
Available history-17%-14.5M shares

ALV has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

ALV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

ALV has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

ALV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic64.1Neutral

ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricALVSector medianRelative
PE14x18x21% below
PE %38479 pts below

ALV has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ALV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.22.3% above
20 week MA$119.10.2% below
50 week MA$118.80% above
100 week MA$112.65.5% above
200 week MA$106.512% above

ALV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over ALV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.7$92.6+8%
2021$92.6$101.1+9.2%
2022$101.1$74.6-26%
2023$74.6$110.2+48%
2024$110.2$94.4-14%
2025$94.4$120.4+28%
2026 YTD$120.4$118.9-1.3%

ALV has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 1.3% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over ALV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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