ALV

Autoliv, Inc.

64
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ALV has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ALV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ALV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$119—
Cheap13x$105-12%
Current14x$119—
Fair17x$144+21%
Expensive31x$262+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALV has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ALV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over ALV on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ALV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$146.35
Downside-14%$102.17

Calculated from the latest close: $118.86 on Nov 12.

ALV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails ALV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.23+35%
Q3 2026$8.33-14%
Q2 2026$8.48-6.9%
Q1 2026$9.29+7.3%
Q4 2025$9.55+19%
Q3 2025$9.65+26%
Q2 2025$9.11+22%
Q1 2025$8.66+36%
Q4 2024$8.04+41%

ALV has the edge over BABA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.42 over the past year, against $9.27 in mid-2025. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ALV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-0.5%
Q2 2026$2.8B+3.3%
Q1 2026$2.8B+6.8%
Q4 2025$2.8B+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.7B+5.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.6B-1.4%
Q4 2024$2.6B-4.9%

ALV's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over ALV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$124M-18%
Q2 2026$340M+109%
Q1 2026-$161M-$136M
Q4 2025$426M+52%
Q3 2025$152M+390%
Q2 2025$163M-12%
Q1 2025-$25M-$7M
Q4 2024$281M-4.4%

ALV has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

ALV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.3M shares
1 year-5%-3.8M shares
3 years-14%-12.1M shares
5 years-17%-14.8M shares
Available history-17%-14.5M shares

ALV has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

ALV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA has the edge over ALV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic64.1Neutral

ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricALVSector medianRelative
PE14x18x21% below
PE %38479 pts below

ALV has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

ALV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.22.3% above
20 week MA$119.10.2% below
50 week MA$118.80% above
100 week MA$112.65.5% above
200 week MA$106.512% above

ALV has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

ALV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.7$92.6+8%
2021$92.6$101.1+9.2%
2022$101.1$74.6-26%
2023$74.6$110.2+48%
2024$110.2$94.4-14%
2025$94.4$120.4+28%
2026 YTD$120.4$118.9-1.3%

ALV has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

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