ALV

Autoliv, Inc.

64
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ALV's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

73
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AMZN has the edge over ALV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ALV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

ALV's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AMZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

AMZN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

ALV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$119—
Cheap13x$105-12%
Current14x$119—
Fair17x$144+21%
Expensive31x$262+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALV's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AMZN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE84x167x251x335x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$267—
Forward27x$267—
Cheap34x$415+55%
Fair60x$745+179%
Expensive102x$1,262+372%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMZN has the edge over ALV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ALV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AMZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMZN, with profitability improving.

ALV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$146.35
Downside-14%$102.17

Calculated from the latest close: $118.86 on Nov 12.

ALV trails AMZN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$368.61
Downside-11%$237.96

Calculated from the latest close: $267.44 on Nov 12.

AMZN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ALV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
Q4 2023: $5.72Q1 2024: $6.38Q2 2024: $7.48Q3 2024: $7.65Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.66Q2 2025: $9.11Q3 2025: $9.65Q4 2025: $9.55Q1 2026: $9.29Q2 2026: $8.48Q3 2026: $8.33Forward: $11.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.23+35%
Q3 2026$8.33-14%
Q2 2026$8.48-6.9%
Q1 2026$9.29+7.3%
Q4 2025$9.55+19%
Q3 2025$9.65+26%
Q2 2025$9.11+22%
Q1 2025$8.66+36%
Q4 2024$8.04+41%

ALV earned $8.33 per share over the past year, down 14% from the year before.

AMZN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $3.57Q2 2024: $4.18Q3 2024: $4.67Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $6.14Q2 2025: $6.56Q3 2025: $7.08Q4 2025: $7.17Q1 2026: $8.36Q2 2026: $12.43Q3 2026: $12.37Forward: $9.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.87-20%
Q3 2026$12.37+75%
Q2 2026$12.43+89%
Q1 2026$8.36+36%
Q4 2025$7.17+30%
Q3 2025$7.08+52%
Q2 2025$6.56+57%
Q1 2025$6.14+72%
Q4 2024$5.53+91%

AMZN has the edge over ALV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-0.5%
Q2 2026$2.8B+3.3%
Q1 2026$2.8B+6.8%
Q4 2025$2.8B+7.7%
Q3 2025$2.7B+5.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.6B-1.4%
Q4 2024$2.6B-4.9%

ALV's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $2.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AMZN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
Q4 2023: $170BQ1 2024: $143BQ2 2024: $148BQ3 2024: $159BQ4 2024: $188BQ1 2025: $156BQ2 2025: $168BQ3 2025: $180BQ4 2025: $213BQ1 2026: $182BQ2 2026: $201BQ3 2026: $202B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9B+12%
Q2 2026$200.6B+20%
Q1 2026$181.5B+17%
Q4 2025$213.4B+14%
Q3 2025$180.2B+13%
Q2 2025$167.7B+13%
Q1 2025$155.7B+8.6%
Q4 2024$187.8B+10%

AMZN has the edge over ALV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
Q4 2023: $294MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $281MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $426MQ1 2026: −$161MQ2 2026: $340MQ3 2026: $124M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$124M-18%
Q2 2026$340M+109%
Q1 2026-$161M-$136M
Q4 2025$426M+52%
Q3 2025$152M+390%
Q2 2025$163M-12%
Q1 2025-$25M-$7M
Q4 2024$281M-4.4%

ALV has the edge over AMZN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AMZN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
Q4 2023: $27.9BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $7.7BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: −$8BQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $14.9BQ1 2026: −$18.2BQ2 2026: −$8.8BQ3 2026: −$34.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$34.8B-8202%
Q2 2026-$8.8B-2757%
Q1 2026-$18.2B-$10.2B
Q4 2025$14.9B-16%
Q3 2025$430M-87%
Q2 2025$332M-96%
Q1 2025-$8B-297%
Q4 2024$17.8B-36%

AMZN's free cash flow was −$46.9B over the past year, against $10.6B the year before.

ALV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 83MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.3M shares
1 year-5%-3.8M shares
3 years-14%-12.1M shares
5 years-17%-14.8M shares
Available history-17%-14.5M shares

ALV has the edge over AMZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AMZN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
Q4 2023: 10.5BQ1 2024: 10.7BQ2 2024: 10.7BQ3 2024: 10.7BQ4 2024: 10.7BQ1 2025: 10.8BQ2 2025: 10.8BQ3 2025: 10.8BQ4 2025: 10.8BQ1 2026: 10.9BQ2 2026: 10.9BQ3 2026: 10.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+26M shares
1 year+0.8%+84M shares
3 years+3.5%+371M shares
5 years+6.1%+629M shares
Available history+8.2%+829M shares

AMZN has 10.9B diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ALV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

ALV's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AMZN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

AMZN has the edge over ALV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.3Neutral
Stochastic64.1Neutral

ALV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

AMZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic50.0Neutral

AMZN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

ALV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricALVSector medianRelative
PE14x18x21% below
PE %38479 pts below

ALV has the edge over AMZN on valuation relative to its sector.

AMZN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricAMZNSector medianRelative
PE22x18x20% above
PE %44743 pts below

AMZN is trading at 22x earnings, a 20% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ALV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.22.3% above
20 week MA$119.10.2% below
50 week MA$118.80% above
100 week MA$112.65.5% above
200 week MA$106.512% above

ALV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

AMZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$253.65.5% above
20 week MA$254.94.9% above
50 week MA$242.510% above
100 week MA$229.617% above
200 week MA$191.440% above

AMZN has the edge over ALV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.7$92.6+8%
2021$92.6$101.1+9.2%
2022$101.1$74.6-26%
2023$74.6$110.2+48%
2024$110.2$94.4-14%
2025$94.4$120.4+28%
2026 YTD$120.4$118.9-1.3%

ALV has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 1.3% so far in 2026.

AMZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.5$158.6+70%
2021$158.6$171.1+7.8%
2022$171.1$85.3-50%
2023$85.3$151.9+78%
2024$151.9$223.8+47%
2025$223.8$232.5+3.9%
2026 YTD$232.5$267.4+15%

AMZN has the edge over ALV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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