ALLY
Ally Financial Inc.
ALLY has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
ALLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ALLY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALLY.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
ALLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.4x | $23.66 | -38% |
| Forward | 6.5x | $38.00 | — |
| Current | 8.7x | $38.00 | — |
| Fair | 9.4x | $41.09 | +8.1% |
| Expensive | 17x | $75.07 | +98% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ALLY's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.5x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over ALLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ALLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
ALLY has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
ALLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.85 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.38 | +164% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.26 | +177% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.12 | +203% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.37 | -8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.66 | -33% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.54 | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.36 | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.60 | -13% |
ALLY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.38 over the past year, against $8.23 in late 2021.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | +9.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +1.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +3.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | +4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B | +1.2% |
ALLY's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.3B last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +38 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -18% | -27 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | +5.3 points |
ALLY's operating margin was 24% last quarter, up 0.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $640M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $947M | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $940M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $951M | +$968M |
ALLY has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
ALLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -2.9M shares |
| 1 year | -1.8% | -5.7M shares |
| 3 years | +0.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -53.7M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -87.3M shares |
ALLY has 308M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $496M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $178M |
| Q2 2026 | $148M |
| Q1 2026 | $147M |
| Q4 2025 | $23M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | $34M |
| Q4 2024 | $7M |
ALLY spent $496M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
ALLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2x | High |
ALLY's net debt is about 5.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALLY.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ALLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.5 | Neutral |
ALLY's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
ALLY PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ALLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.7x | 13x | 33% below |
| PE % | 44 | 63 | 19 pts below |
ALLY has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ALLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.2 | 0.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $41.4 | 8.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $42.1 | 9.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $39.8 | 4.6% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.5 | 4.2% above |
ALLY has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.2% above its 200-week average.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ALLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.6 | $34.5 | +13% |
| 2021 | $34.5 | $47.6 | +38% |
| 2022 | $47.6 | $23.9 | -50% |
| 2023 | $23.9 | $34.9 | +46% |
| 2024 | $34.9 | $35.7 | +2.1% |
| 2025 | $35.7 | $46.3 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $46.3 | $38.0 | -18% |
ALLY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 18% so far in 2026.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over ALLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.