ALLY

Ally Financial Inc.

69
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ALLY's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 11 points to 21% and revenue grew 12%. At 8.7x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 9.4x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ALLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

ALLY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALLY.

ALLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.4x$23.66-38%
Forward6.5x$38.00—
Current8.7x$38.00—
Fair9.4x$41.09+8.1%
Expensive17x$75.07+98%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALLY's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.5x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ALLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALLY, with profitability improving.

ALLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$52.29
Downside-12%$33.60

Calculated from the latest close: $38.00 on Nov 12.

ALLY's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +38% against −12%.

ALLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.44Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.49Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $4.12Q2 2026: $4.26Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.85
Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.44Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.49Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $4.12Q2 2026: $4.26Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.85+34%
Q3 2026$4.38+164%
Q2 2026$4.26+177%
Q1 2026$4.12+203%
Q4 2025$2.37-8.8%
Q3 2025$1.66-33%
Q2 2025$1.54-33%
Q1 2025$1.36-44%
Q4 2024$2.60-13%

ALLY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.38 over the past year, against $8.23 in late 2021.

ALLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+7.6%
Q2 2026$2.3B+9.8%
Q1 2026$2.1B+36%
Q4 2025$2.1B+1.5%
Q3 2025$2.2B+3.1%
Q2 2025$2.1B+4.1%
Q1 2025$1.5B-22%
Q4 2024$2.1B+1.2%

ALLY's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.3B last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $992MQ4 2024: $951MQ1 2025: $940MQ2 2025: $947MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $640MQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $992MQ4 2024: $951MQ1 2025: $940MQ2 2025: $947MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $640MQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+33%
Q2 2026$1.4B+43%
Q1 2026$1.4B+46%
Q4 2025$640M-33%
Q3 2025$1.2B+21%
Q2 2025$947M-40%
Q1 2025$940M-30%
Q4 2024$951M+$968M

ALLY's free cash flow was $5B over the past year, up 23% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALLY.

ALLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 308MQ2 2024: 310MQ3 2024: 311MQ4 2024: 310MQ1 2025: 309MQ2 2025: 312MQ3 2025: 314MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 313MQ2 2026: 311MQ3 2026: 308M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 308MQ2 2024: 310MQ3 2024: 311MQ4 2024: 310MQ1 2025: 309MQ2 2025: 312MQ3 2025: 314MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 313MQ2 2026: 311MQ3 2026: 308M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-2.9M shares
1 year-1.8%-5.7M shares
3 years+0.8%+2.4M shares
5 years-15%-53.7M shares
Available history-22%-87.3M shares

ALLY has 308M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $496M in buybacks over the past year.

ALLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 5.1x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.1xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.7xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

ALLY's net debt is about 5.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALLY.

ALLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.2Neutral
Stochastic21.5Neutral

ALLY's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

ALLY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricALLYSector medianRelative
PE8.7x13x33% below
PE %446319 pts below

ALLY is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 33% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ALLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.20.4% below
20 week MA$41.48.2% below
50 week MA$42.19.8% below
100 week MA$39.84.6% below
200 week MA$36.54.2% above

ALLY has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.2% above its 200-week average.

ALLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.6$34.5+13%
2021$34.5$47.6+38%
2022$47.6$23.9-50%
2023$23.9$34.9+46%
2024$34.9$35.7+2.1%
2025$35.7$46.3+30%
2026 YTD$46.3$38.0-18%

ALLY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

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