ALLY

Ally Financial Inc.

69
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

ALLY's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 11 points to 21% and revenue grew 12%. At 8.7x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 9.4x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

ALLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

ALLY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ALLY.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

ALLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.4x$23.66-38%
Forward6.5x$38.00โ€”
Current8.7x$38.00โ€”
Fair9.4x$41.09+8.1%
Expensive17x$75.07+98%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALLY's PE is in its fair range at 8.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.5x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ALLY has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$52.29
Downside-12%$33.60

Calculated from the latest close: $38.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ALLY and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ALLY and COIN's risk to reward.

ALLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.44Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.49Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $4.12Q2 2026: $4.26Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.85
Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.44Q2 2024: $2.31Q3 2024: $2.49Q4 2024: $2.60Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.54Q3 2025: $1.66Q4 2025: $2.37Q1 2026: $4.12Q2 2026: $4.26Q3 2026: $4.38Forward: $5.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.85+34%
Q3 2026$4.38+164%
Q2 2026$4.26+177%
Q1 2026$4.12+203%
Q4 2025$2.37-8.8%
Q3 2025$1.66-33%
Q2 2025$1.54-33%
Q1 2025$1.36-44%
Q4 2024$2.60-13%

ALLY has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ALLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+7.6%
Q2 2026$2.3B+9.8%
Q1 2026$2.1B+36%
Q4 2025$2.1B+1.5%
Q3 2025$2.2B+3.1%
Q2 2025$2.1B+4.1%
Q1 2025$1.5B-22%
Q4 2024$2.1B+1.2%

ALLY has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $992MQ4 2024: $951MQ1 2025: $940MQ2 2025: $947MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $640MQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $992MQ4 2024: $951MQ1 2025: $940MQ2 2025: $947MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $640MQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+33%
Q2 2026$1.4B+43%
Q1 2026$1.4B+46%
Q4 2025$640M-33%
Q3 2025$1.2B+21%
Q2 2025$947M-40%
Q1 2025$940M-30%
Q4 2024$951M+$968M

ALLY has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

ALLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 308MQ2 2024: 310MQ3 2024: 311MQ4 2024: 310MQ1 2025: 309MQ2 2025: 312MQ3 2025: 314MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 313MQ2 2026: 311MQ3 2026: 308M
Q4 2023: 305MQ1 2024: 308MQ2 2024: 310MQ3 2024: 311MQ4 2024: 310MQ1 2025: 309MQ2 2025: 312MQ3 2025: 314MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 313MQ2 2026: 311MQ3 2026: 308M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-2.9M shares
1 year-1.8%-5.7M shares
3 years+0.8%+2.4M shares
5 years-15%-53.7M shares
Available history-22%-87.3M shares

ALLY has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

ALLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 5.1x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.7xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 4.6xQ3 2026: 5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.1xHigh
Q2 20264.6xHigh
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.7xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

ALLY's net debt is about 5.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ALLY.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over ALLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.2Neutral
Stochastic21.5Neutral

ALLY's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ALLY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricALLYSector medianRelative
PE8.7x13x33% below
PE %446319 pts below

ALLY is trading at 8.7x earnings, a 33% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.20.4% below
20 week MA$41.48.2% below
50 week MA$42.19.8% below
100 week MA$39.84.6% below
200 week MA$36.54.2% above

ALLY has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ALLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.6$34.5+13%
2021$34.5$47.6+38%
2022$47.6$23.9-50%
2023$23.9$34.9+46%
2024$34.9$35.7+2.1%
2025$35.7$46.3+30%
2026 YTD$46.3$38.0-18%

ALLY has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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