ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
ALK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has the edge over ALK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ALK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
ALK's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ALK PE Valuation
ALK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ALK's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RKLB has the edge over ALK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ALK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.55 | -380% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.61 | -165% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | -82% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.83 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -49% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.49 | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.78 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.08 | +68% |
ALK has swung to a loss: it lost $3.55 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB has the edge over ALK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ALK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.1B | +9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.8B | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.7B | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1B | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B | +38% |
ALK's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $4.3B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.1% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.4% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1% | 0 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9% | -7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.5% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.3% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1% | +0.8 points |
ALK has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over ALK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ALK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82M | -41% |
| Q2 2026 | $107M | -63% |
| Q1 2026 | $391M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $95M | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $138M | -47% |
| Q2 2025 | $290M | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $417M | +77% |
| Q4 2024 | $183M | +$739M |
ALK has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
ALK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +484K shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -5.9M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -17.6M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -15.6M shares |
| Available history | -10% | -12.7M shares |
ALK has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $57M |
| Q1 2026 | $193M |
| Q4 2025 | $30M |
| Q3 2025 | $5M |
| Q2 2025 | $430M |
| Q1 2025 | $105M |
| Q4 2024 | $249M |
ALK spent $280M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 65% from the year before.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ALK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 8.5x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
ALK's net debt is about 9.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ALK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.9 | Neutral |
ALK's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
ALK PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ALK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
ALK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $37.9 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $42.3 | 7.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $44.7 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $49.7 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $46.1 | 15% below |
ALK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 15% below its 200-week average.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB has the edge over ALK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ALK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $68.3 | $52.3 | -23% |
| 2021 | $52.3 | $53.0 | +1.5% |
| 2022 | $53.0 | $43.3 | -18% |
| 2023 | $43.3 | $39.1 | -9.8% |
| 2024 | $39.1 | $65.8 | +68% |
| 2025 | $65.8 | $51.5 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $51.5 | $39.1 | -24% |
ALK has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB has the edge over ALK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.