ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

55
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

ALGT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has a slight edge over ALGT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ALGT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

ALGT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALGT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE292x583x875x1166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE292x583x875x1166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$31.52-66%
Forward13x$92.51—
Fair17x$57.07-38%
Current28x$92.51—
Expensive52x$174+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGT's PE is in its fair range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALGT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALGT, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over ALGT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ALGT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$137.23
Downside-27%$67.51

Calculated from the latest close: $92.51 on Nov 12.

ALGT trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALGT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALGT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.29Q1 2024: $3.13Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-1.53Q4 2024: $-13.49Q1 2025: $-11.69Q2 2025: $-16.06Q3 2025: $-16.42Q4 2025: $-2.48Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $1.50Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $7.05
Q4 2023: $6.29Q1 2024: $3.13Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-1.53Q4 2024: $-13.49Q1 2025: $-11.69Q2 2025: $-16.06Q3 2025: $-16.42Q4 2025: $-2.48Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $1.50Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $7.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.05+110%
Q3 2026$3.35+$19.77
Q2 2026$1.50+$17.56
Q1 2026-$1.91+$9.78
Q4 2025-$2.48+$11.01
Q3 2025-$16.42-$14.89
Q2 2025-$16.06-$15.14
Q1 2025-$11.69-473%
Q4 2024-$13.49-314%

ALGT has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

ALGT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $611MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: $666MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $699MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $656MQ1 2026: $732MQ2 2026: $943MQ3 2026: $962M
Q4 2023: $611MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: $666MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $699MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $656MQ1 2026: $732MQ2 2026: $943MQ3 2026: $962M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$961.6M+71%
Q2 2026$943.5M+37%
Q1 2026$732.4M+4.8%
Q4 2025$656.2M+4.5%
Q3 2025$561.9M0%
Q2 2025$689.4M+3.5%
Q1 2025$699.1M+6.5%
Q4 2024$627.7M+2.7%

ALGT's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $962M last quarter, up 71% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over ALGT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: −$47MQ3 2025: −$135MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$264M
Q4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: −$47MQ3 2025: −$135MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$264.1M-$128.8M
Q2 2026-$74.6M-$28.1M
Q1 2026$222.6M+90%
Q4 2025$90.4M+276%
Q3 2025-$135.3M-$110.9M
Q2 2025-$46.5M-280%
Q1 2025$116.9M+225%
Q4 2024$24M+$91.5M

ALGT has the edge over RKLB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

ALGT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+18%+4.1M shares
1 year+50%+8.9M shares
3 years+52%+9.3M shares
5 years+52%+9.2M shares
Available history+68%+10.9M shares

ALGT has 27M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over ALGT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ALGT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 97.4xQ1 2025: 25.7xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 97.4xQ1 2025: 25.7xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20265.9xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q1 202525.7xHigh
Q4 202497.4xHigh
Q3 20246.7xHigh
Q2 20247.0xHigh

ALGT's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALGT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.6Neutral
Stochastic52.5Neutral

ALGT's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

ALGT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricALGTSector medianRelative
PE28x24x15% above
PE %63585 pts above

ALGT is trading at 28x earnings, a 15% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALGT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.019% above
20 week MA$86.47.1% above
50 week MA$88.05.1% above
100 week MA$76.421% above
200 week MA$76.820% above

ALGT has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

ALGT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$177.4$179.2+1%
2021$179.2$190.2+6.1%
2022$190.2$65.7-65%
2023$65.7$82.6+26%
2024$82.6$91.1+10%
2025$91.1$84.7-7.1%
2026 YTD$84.7$92.5+9.3%

ALGT has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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