ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

55
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

ALGT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 28x earnings, above its usual 17x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

ALGT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

ALGT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

ALGT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE292x583x875x1166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE292x583x875x1166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$31.52-66%
Forward13x$92.51—
Fair17x$57.07-38%
Current28x$92.51—
Expensive52x$174+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGT's PE is in its fair range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

ALGT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALGT, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALGT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$137.23
Downside-27%$67.51

Calculated from the latest close: $92.51 on Nov 12.

ALGT's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +48% against −27%.

ALGT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.29Q1 2024: $3.13Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-1.53Q4 2024: $-13.49Q1 2025: $-11.69Q2 2025: $-16.06Q3 2025: $-16.42Q4 2025: $-2.48Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $1.50Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $7.05
Q4 2023: $6.29Q1 2024: $3.13Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-1.53Q4 2024: $-13.49Q1 2025: $-11.69Q2 2025: $-16.06Q3 2025: $-16.42Q4 2025: $-2.48Q1 2026: $-1.91Q2 2026: $1.50Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $7.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.05+110%
Q3 2026$3.35+$19.77
Q2 2026$1.50+$17.56
Q1 2026-$1.91+$9.78
Q4 2025-$2.48+$11.01
Q3 2025-$16.42-$14.89
Q2 2025-$16.06-$15.14
Q1 2025-$11.69-473%
Q4 2024-$13.49-314%

ALGT has returned to profit: it earned $3.35 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ALGT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $611MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: $666MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $699MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $656MQ1 2026: $732MQ2 2026: $943MQ3 2026: $962M
Q4 2023: $611MQ1 2024: $656MQ2 2024: $666MQ3 2024: $562MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $699MQ2 2025: $689MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $656MQ1 2026: $732MQ2 2026: $943MQ3 2026: $962M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$961.6M+71%
Q2 2026$943.5M+37%
Q1 2026$732.4M+4.8%
Q4 2025$656.2M+4.5%
Q3 2025$561.9M0%
Q2 2025$689.4M+3.5%
Q1 2025$699.1M+6.5%
Q4 2024$627.7M+2.7%

ALGT's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $962M last quarter, up 71% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALGT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: −$47MQ3 2025: −$135MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$264M
Q4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: −$47MQ3 2025: −$135MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $223MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$264.1M-$128.8M
Q2 2026-$74.6M-$28.1M
Q1 2026$222.6M+90%
Q4 2025$90.4M+276%
Q3 2025-$135.3M-$110.9M
Q2 2025-$46.5M-280%
Q1 2025$116.9M+225%
Q4 2024$24M+$91.5M

ALGT's free cash flow was −$26M over the past year, against −$41M the year before.

ALGT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+18%+4.1M shares
1 year+50%+8.9M shares
3 years+52%+9.3M shares
5 years+52%+9.2M shares
Available history+68%+10.9M shares

ALGT has 27M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.

ALGT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 97.4xQ1 2025: 25.7xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 7.0xQ3 2024: 6.7xQ4 2024: 97.4xQ1 2025: 25.7xQ4 2025: 5.7xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20265.9xHigh
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20255.7xHigh
Q1 202525.7xHigh
Q4 202497.4xHigh
Q3 20246.7xHigh
Q2 20247.0xHigh

ALGT's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ALGT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.6Neutral
Stochastic52.5Neutral

ALGT's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

ALGT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricALGTSector medianRelative
PE28x24x15% above
PE %63585 pts above

ALGT is trading at 28x earnings, a 15% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ALGT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.019% above
20 week MA$86.47.1% above
50 week MA$88.05.1% above
100 week MA$76.421% above
200 week MA$76.820% above

ALGT has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 20% above its 200-week average.

ALGT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$177.4$179.2+1%
2021$179.2$190.2+6.1%
2022$190.2$65.7-65%
2023$65.7$82.6+26%
2024$82.6$91.1+10%
2025$91.1$84.7-7.1%
2026 YTD$84.7$92.5+9.3%

ALGT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 9.3% so far in 2026.

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