ALGN

Align Technology, Inc.

70
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ALGN has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ALGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ALGN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ALGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$167—
Current24x$167—
Cheap25x$173+3.5%
Fair35x$242+45%
Expensive69x$470+182%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGN's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over ALGN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ALGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALGN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$218.07
Downside-18%$137.19

Calculated from the latest close: $166.97 on Nov 12.

ALGN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALGN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ALGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.81Q1 2024: $6.06Q2 2024: $5.88Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.62Q1 2025: $5.50Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.65Q1 2026: $5.95Q2 2026: $5.74Q3 2026: $6.86Forward: $11.89
Q4 2023: $5.81Q1 2024: $6.06Q2 2024: $5.88Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.62Q1 2025: $5.50Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.65Q1 2026: $5.95Q2 2026: $5.74Q3 2026: $6.86Forward: $11.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.89+73%
Q3 2026$6.86+33%
Q2 2026$5.74-3.4%
Q1 2026$5.95+8.2%
Q4 2025$5.65+0.5%
Q3 2025$5.17-12%
Q2 2025$5.94+1%
Q1 2025$5.50-9.2%
Q4 2024$5.62-3.3%

ALGN has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

ALGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $957MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $978MQ4 2024: $995MQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $957MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $978MQ4 2024: $995MQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+1.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B+4.3%
Q1 2026$1B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1B+5.3%
Q3 2025$995.7M+1.8%
Q2 2025$1B-1.6%
Q1 2025$979.3M-1.8%
Q4 2024$995.2M+4%

ALGN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 1.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over ALGN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.9M-18%
Q2 2026$157.1M+47%
Q1 2026$120.3M+339%
Q4 2025$187.3M-29%
Q3 2025$169M-28%
Q2 2025$107.2M+0.7%
Q1 2025$27.4M+42%
Q4 2024$263.1M+1851%

ALGN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $603M over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

ALGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-505K shares
1 year-1.9%-1.4M shares
3 years-7.6%-5.8M shares
5 years-11%-8.5M shares
Available history-11%-9.1M shares

ALGN has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

ALGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

ALGN has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ALGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic50.8Neutral

ALGN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ALGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALGNSector medianRelative
PE24x26x5.8% below
PE %162913 pts below

ALGN is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over ALGN on valuation relative to its sector.

ALGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$152.29.7% above
20 week MA$161.43.5% above
50 week MA$168.00.6% below
100 week MA$169.41.4% below
200 week MA$225.126% below

ALGN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 26% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over ALGN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$277.6$528.0+90%
2021$528.0$654.0+24%
2022$654.0$203.7-69%
2023$203.7$274.0+35%
2024$274.0$211.4-23%
2025$211.4$158.4-25%
2026 YTD$158.4$167.0+5.4%

ALGN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 5.4% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over ALGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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