ALGN

Align Technology, Inc.

70
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ALGN's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 24x earnings, below its usual 36x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ALGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ALGN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ALGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$167—
Current24x$167—
Cheap25x$173+3.5%
Fair35x$242+45%
Expensive69x$470+182%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGN's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ALGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALGN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ALGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$218.07
Downside-18%$137.19

Calculated from the latest close: $166.97 on Nov 12.

ALGN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +31% against −18%.

ALGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.81Q1 2024: $6.06Q2 2024: $5.88Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.62Q1 2025: $5.50Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.65Q1 2026: $5.95Q2 2026: $5.74Q3 2026: $6.86Forward: $11.89
Q4 2023: $5.81Q1 2024: $6.06Q2 2024: $5.88Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.62Q1 2025: $5.50Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.65Q1 2026: $5.95Q2 2026: $5.74Q3 2026: $6.86Forward: $11.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.89+73%
Q3 2026$6.86+33%
Q2 2026$5.74-3.4%
Q1 2026$5.95+8.2%
Q4 2025$5.65+0.5%
Q3 2025$5.17-12%
Q2 2025$5.94+1%
Q1 2025$5.50-9.2%
Q4 2024$5.62-3.3%

ALGN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.86 over the past year, against $23.85 in early 2020.

ALGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $957MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $978MQ4 2024: $995MQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $957MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $978MQ4 2024: $995MQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+1.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B+4.3%
Q1 2026$1B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1B+5.3%
Q3 2025$995.7M+1.8%
Q2 2025$1B-1.6%
Q1 2025$979.3M-1.8%
Q4 2024$995.2M+4%

ALGN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 1.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.9M-18%
Q2 2026$157.1M+47%
Q1 2026$120.3M+339%
Q4 2025$187.3M-29%
Q3 2025$169M-28%
Q2 2025$107.2M+0.7%
Q1 2025$27.4M+42%
Q4 2024$263.1M+1851%

ALGN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $603M over the past year.

ALGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-505K shares
1 year-1.9%-1.4M shares
3 years-7.6%-5.8M shares
5 years-11%-8.5M shares
Available history-11%-9.1M shares

ALGN has 71M diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $298M in buybacks over the past year.

ALGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

ALGN has more cash than debt.

ALGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic50.8Neutral

ALGN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

ALGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALGNSector medianRelative
PE24x26x5.8% below
PE %162913 pts below

ALGN is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ALGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$152.29.7% above
20 week MA$161.43.5% above
50 week MA$168.00.6% below
100 week MA$169.41.4% below
200 week MA$225.126% below

ALGN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 26% below its 200-week average.

ALGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$277.6$528.0+90%
2021$528.0$654.0+24%
2022$654.0$203.7-69%
2023$203.7$274.0+35%
2024$274.0$211.4-23%
2025$211.4$158.4-25%
2026 YTD$158.4$167.0+5.4%

ALGN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 5.4% so far in 2026.

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