ALGN

Align Technology, Inc.

70
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

ALGN has a slight edge over OSCR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ALGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ALGN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ALGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$167—
Current24x$167—
Cheap25x$173+3.5%
Fair35x$242+45%
Expensive69x$470+182%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALGN's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over ALGN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ALGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ALGN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ALGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$218.07
Downside-18%$137.19

Calculated from the latest close: $166.97 on Nov 12.

ALGN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ALGN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ALGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.81Q1 2024: $6.06Q2 2024: $5.88Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.62Q1 2025: $5.50Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.65Q1 2026: $5.95Q2 2026: $5.74Q3 2026: $6.86Forward: $11.89
Q4 2023: $5.81Q1 2024: $6.06Q2 2024: $5.88Q3 2024: $5.85Q4 2024: $5.62Q1 2025: $5.50Q2 2025: $5.94Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.65Q1 2026: $5.95Q2 2026: $5.74Q3 2026: $6.86Forward: $11.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.89+73%
Q3 2026$6.86+33%
Q2 2026$5.74-3.4%
Q1 2026$5.95+8.2%
Q4 2025$5.65+0.5%
Q3 2025$5.17-12%
Q2 2025$5.94+1%
Q1 2025$5.50-9.2%
Q4 2024$5.62-3.3%

ALGN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.86 over the past year, against $23.85 in early 2020.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ALGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $957MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $978MQ4 2024: $995MQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $957MQ1 2024: $997MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $978MQ4 2024: $995MQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $996MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+1.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B+4.3%
Q1 2026$1B+6.2%
Q4 2025$1B+5.3%
Q3 2025$995.7M+1.8%
Q2 2025$1B-1.6%
Q1 2025$979.3M-1.8%
Q4 2024$995.2M+4%

ALGN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 1.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $234MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $169MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$137.9M-18%
Q2 2026$157.1M+47%
Q1 2026$120.3M+339%
Q4 2025$187.3M-29%
Q3 2025$169M-28%
Q2 2025$107.2M+0.7%
Q1 2025$27.4M+42%
Q4 2024$263.1M+1851%

ALGN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $603M over the past year.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 71M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 75MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 72MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 71M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-505K shares
1 year-1.9%-1.4M shares
3 years-7.6%-5.8M shares
5 years-11%-8.5M shares
Available history-11%-9.1M shares

ALGN has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ALGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.2xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

ALGN has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ALGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.6Neutral
Stochastic50.8Neutral

ALGN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ALGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricALGNSector medianRelative
PE24x26x5.8% below
PE %162913 pts below

ALGN is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on valuation relative to its sector.

ALGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$152.29.7% above
20 week MA$161.43.5% above
50 week MA$168.00.6% below
100 week MA$169.41.4% below
200 week MA$225.126% below

ALGN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 26% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ALGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$277.6$528.0+90%
2021$528.0$654.0+24%
2022$654.0$203.7-69%
2023$203.7$274.0+35%
2024$274.0$211.4-23%
2025$211.4$158.4-25%
2026 YTD$158.4$167.0+5.4%

ALGN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 5.4% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ALGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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