AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
AJG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over AJG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AJG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AJG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AJG.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
AJG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $277 | — |
| Cheap | 30x | $195 | -30% |
| Fair | 38x | $250 | -9.7% |
| Current | 42x | $277 | — |
| Expensive | 51x | $332 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AJG's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over AJG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AJG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AJG, with profitability improving.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
AJG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $14.41 | +120% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.54 | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.03 | -8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.18 | -4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.74 | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.26 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.61 | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.48 | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.50 | +47% |
AJG earned $6.54 per share over the past year, up 4.5% from the year before.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
AJG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $4B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.4B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | +12% |
AJG's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | -7.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +16 points |
AJG's operating margin was 13% last quarter, up 2.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over AJG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over AJG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AJG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +87% |
| Q2 2026 | -$41M | +$424.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $921M | +9.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $713.4M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $693.5M | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | -$465.5M | -631% |
| Q1 2025 | $843.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $695.7M | +7.4% |
AJG has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
AJG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +19% | +41M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +49.7M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +70.7M shares |
AJG has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100M |
| Q2 2026 | $170M |
| Q1 2026 | $310M |
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
AJG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
AJG's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AJG.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over AJG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AJG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.8 | Overbought |
AJG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
AJG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AJG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42x | 13x | 226% above |
| PE % | 66 | 63 | 3 pts above |
AJG is trading at 42x earnings, a 226% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI has the edge over AJG on valuation relative to its sector.
AJG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $256.0 | 8.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $253.9 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $237.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $271.8 | 2% above |
| 200 week MA | $256.1 | 8.3% above |
AJG has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
AJG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $94.8 | $123.4 | +30% |
| 2021 | $123.4 | $166.5 | +35% |
| 2022 | $166.5 | $188.4 | +13% |
| 2023 | $188.4 | $224.9 | +19% |
| 2024 | $224.9 | $286.5 | +27% |
| 2025 | $286.5 | $261.5 | -8.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $261.5 | $277.3 | +6% |
AJG has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.