AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

56
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AJG's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 26%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 13%. At 42x earnings, it's trading above its usual 38x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

AJG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AJG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AJG.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

AJG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$277โ€”
Cheap30x$195-30%
Fair38x$250-9.7%
Current42x$277โ€”
Expensive51x$332+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AJG's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AJG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

AJG has the edge over IREN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AJG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$333.82
Downside-13%$240.63

Calculated from the latest close: $277.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AJG and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AJG and IREN's risk to reward.

AJG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.42Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.48Q2 2025: $6.61Q3 2025: $6.26Q4 2025: $5.74Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.03Q3 2026: $6.54Forward: $14.41
Q4 2023: $4.42Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.48Q2 2025: $6.61Q3 2025: $6.26Q4 2025: $5.74Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.03Q3 2026: $6.54Forward: $14.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.41+120%
Q3 2026$6.54+4.5%
Q2 2026$6.03-8.8%
Q1 2026$6.18-4.6%
Q4 2025$5.74-12%
Q3 2025$6.26+20%
Q2 2025$6.61+29%
Q1 2025$6.48+32%
Q4 2024$6.50+47%

AJG has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AJG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+18%
Q2 2026$4B+24%
Q1 2026$4.8B+28%
Q4 2025$3.6B+34%
Q3 2025$3.4B+20%
Q2 2025$3.2B+16%
Q1 2025$3.7B+14%
Q4 2024$2.7B+12%

AJG's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $4B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AJG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $648MQ1 2024: $760MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $898MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $844MQ2 2025: โˆ’$466MQ3 2025: $694MQ4 2025: $713MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: โˆ’$41MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $648MQ1 2024: $760MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $898MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $844MQ2 2025: โˆ’$466MQ3 2025: $694MQ4 2025: $713MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: โˆ’$41MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+87%
Q2 2026-$41M+$424.5M
Q1 2026$921M+9.2%
Q4 2025$713.4M+2.5%
Q3 2025$693.5M-23%
Q2 2025-$465.5M-631%
Q1 2025$843.6M+11%
Q4 2024$695.7M+7.4%

AJG has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

AJG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 218MQ2 2024: 219MQ3 2024: 219MQ4 2024: 221MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 257M
Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 218MQ2 2024: 219MQ3 2024: 219MQ4 2024: 221MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 257M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+100K shares
3 years+19%+41M shares
5 years+24%+49.7M shares
Available history+38%+70.7M shares

AJG has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

AJG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

AJG's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AJG.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

AJG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

AJG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AJG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAJGSector medianRelative
PE42x13x226% above
PE %66633 pts above

AJG is trading at 42x earnings, a 226% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AJG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.08.3% above
20 week MA$253.99.2% above
50 week MA$237.617% above
100 week MA$271.82% above
200 week MA$256.18.3% above

AJG has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

AJG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$94.8$123.4+30%
2021$123.4$166.5+35%
2022$166.5$188.4+13%
2023$188.4$224.9+19%
2024$224.9$286.5+27%
2025$286.5$261.5-8.7%
2026 YTD$261.5$277.3+6%

AJG has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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