AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

56
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AJG's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 26%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 13%. At 42x earnings, it's trading above its usual 38x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AJG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AJG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AJG.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AJG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$277โ€”
Cheap30x$195-30%
Fair38x$250-9.7%
Current42x$277โ€”
Expensive51x$332+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AJG's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AJG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AJG, with profitability improving.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AJG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$333.82
Downside-13%$240.63

Calculated from the latest close: $277.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AJG and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AJG and CIFR's risk to reward.

AJG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.42Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.48Q2 2025: $6.61Q3 2025: $6.26Q4 2025: $5.74Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.03Q3 2026: $6.54Forward: $14.41
Q4 2023: $4.42Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.48Q2 2025: $6.61Q3 2025: $6.26Q4 2025: $5.74Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.03Q3 2026: $6.54Forward: $14.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.41+120%
Q3 2026$6.54+4.5%
Q2 2026$6.03-8.8%
Q1 2026$6.18-4.6%
Q4 2025$5.74-12%
Q3 2025$6.26+20%
Q2 2025$6.61+29%
Q1 2025$6.48+32%
Q4 2024$6.50+47%

AJG has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AJG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+18%
Q2 2026$4B+24%
Q1 2026$4.8B+28%
Q4 2025$3.6B+34%
Q3 2025$3.4B+20%
Q2 2025$3.2B+16%
Q1 2025$3.7B+14%
Q4 2024$2.7B+12%

AJG has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AJG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $648MQ1 2024: $760MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $898MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $844MQ2 2025: โˆ’$466MQ3 2025: $694MQ4 2025: $713MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: โˆ’$41MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $648MQ1 2024: $760MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $898MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $844MQ2 2025: โˆ’$466MQ3 2025: $694MQ4 2025: $713MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: โˆ’$41MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+87%
Q2 2026-$41M+$424.5M
Q1 2026$921M+9.2%
Q4 2025$713.4M+2.5%
Q3 2025$693.5M-23%
Q2 2025-$465.5M-631%
Q1 2025$843.6M+11%
Q4 2024$695.7M+7.4%

AJG has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AJG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 218MQ2 2024: 219MQ3 2024: 219MQ4 2024: 221MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 257M
Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 218MQ2 2024: 219MQ3 2024: 219MQ4 2024: 221MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 257M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+100K shares
3 years+19%+41M shares
5 years+24%+49.7M shares
Available history+38%+70.7M shares

AJG has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

AJG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

AJG's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AJG.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AJG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

AJG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AJG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAJGSector medianRelative
PE42x13x226% above
PE %66633 pts above

AJG is trading at 42x earnings, a 226% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AJG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.08.3% above
20 week MA$253.99.2% above
50 week MA$237.617% above
100 week MA$271.82% above
200 week MA$256.18.3% above

AJG has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AJG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$94.8$123.4+30%
2021$123.4$166.5+35%
2022$166.5$188.4+13%
2023$188.4$224.9+19%
2024$224.9$286.5+27%
2025$286.5$261.5-8.7%
2026 YTD$261.5$277.3+6%

AJG has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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