AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

56
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AJG's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has the edge over AJG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

AJG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AJG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AJG.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

AJG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x64x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$277—
Cheap30x$195-30%
Fair38x$250-9.7%
Current42x$277—
Expensive51x$332+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AJG's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC has the edge over AJG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AJG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AJG, with profitability improving.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.

AJG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$333.82
Downside-13%$240.63

Calculated from the latest close: $277.28 on Nov 12.

AJG trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AJG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AJG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.42Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.48Q2 2025: $6.61Q3 2025: $6.26Q4 2025: $5.74Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.03Q3 2026: $6.54Forward: $14.41
Q4 2023: $4.42Q1 2024: $4.92Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.48Q2 2025: $6.61Q3 2025: $6.26Q4 2025: $5.74Q1 2026: $6.18Q2 2026: $6.03Q3 2026: $6.54Forward: $14.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.41+120%
Q3 2026$6.54+4.5%
Q2 2026$6.03-8.8%
Q1 2026$6.18-4.6%
Q4 2025$5.74-12%
Q3 2025$6.26+20%
Q2 2025$6.61+29%
Q1 2025$6.48+32%
Q4 2024$6.50+47%

AJG earned $6.54 per share over the past year, up 4.5% from the year before.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC has the edge over AJG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AJG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+18%
Q2 2026$4B+24%
Q1 2026$4.8B+28%
Q4 2025$3.6B+34%
Q3 2025$3.4B+20%
Q2 2025$3.2B+16%
Q1 2025$3.7B+14%
Q4 2024$2.7B+12%

AJG has the edge over BAC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $30B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AJG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $648MQ1 2024: $760MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $898MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $844MQ2 2025: −$466MQ3 2025: $694MQ4 2025: $713MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: −$41MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $648MQ1 2024: $760MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $898MQ4 2024: $696MQ1 2025: $844MQ2 2025: −$466MQ3 2025: $694MQ4 2025: $713MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: −$41MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+87%
Q2 2026-$41M+$424.5M
Q1 2026$921M+9.2%
Q4 2025$713.4M+2.5%
Q3 2025$693.5M-23%
Q2 2025-$465.5M-631%
Q1 2025$843.6M+11%
Q4 2024$695.7M+7.4%

AJG has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

AJG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 218MQ2 2024: 219MQ3 2024: 219MQ4 2024: 221MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 257M
Q4 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 218MQ2 2024: 219MQ3 2024: 219MQ4 2024: 221MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 257MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 257M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+100K shares
3 years+19%+41M shares
5 years+24%+49.7M shares
Available history+38%+70.7M shares

AJG has 257M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has the edge over AJG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AJG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

AJG has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

AJG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.3Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

AJG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AJG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAJGSector medianRelative
PE42x13x226% above
PE %66633 pts above

AJG is trading at 42x earnings, a 226% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC has the edge over AJG on valuation relative to its sector.

AJG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.08.3% above
20 week MA$253.99.2% above
50 week MA$237.617% above
100 week MA$271.82% above
200 week MA$256.18.3% above

AJG has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

AJG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$94.8$123.4+30%
2021$123.4$166.5+35%
2022$166.5$188.4+13%
2023$188.4$224.9+19%
2024$224.9$286.5+27%
2025$286.5$261.5-8.7%
2026 YTD$261.5$277.3+6%

AJG has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

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