AIR
AAR Corp.
AIR has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over AIR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
AIR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
AIR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
AIR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $108 | — |
| Cheap | 20x | $98.18 | -9.3% |
| Current | 22x | $108 | — |
| Fair | 31x | $151 | +40% |
| Expensive | 165x | $809 | +647% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AIR's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over AIR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AIR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AIR, with profitability holding steady.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
VRT has the edge over AIR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AIR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.92 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.91 | +514% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.86 | +1289% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.53 | +$4.90 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.57 | +852% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.80 | -56% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.35 | -73% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.37 | -122% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.27 | -86% |
AIR's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.91 over the past year, up from $0.80 the year before.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over AIR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AIR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $918M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $928M | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $845.1M | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $795.3M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $739.6M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $754.5M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $678.2M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $686.1M | +26% |
AIR's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $918M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | N/A |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | N/A |
| Q4 2025 | 6% | N/A |
| Q3 2025 | 6.3% | N/A |
| Q2 2023 | 6.6% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2023 | 6.8% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2022 | 7% | +0.1 points |
AIR's operating margin was 6% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over AIR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over AIR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AIR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $44M | +$97.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $43.3M | +4.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $66.2M | +$93.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.2M | -55% |
| Q3 2025 | -$53.6M | -$27.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $41.4M | +144% |
| Q1 2025 | -$27.2M | -286% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.7M | +36% |
AIR's free cash flow has turned positive again: $160M over the past year, against −$26M the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over AIR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AIR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.9% | +1.5M shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +4M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +4.8M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +4.6M shares |
| Available history | +14% | +4.9M shares |
AIR has 40M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $28.2M |
| Q3 2022 | $21.9M |
| Q2 2022 | $22.2M |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has the edge over AIR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
AIR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2023 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2022 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2022 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2022 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2022 | 0.5x | Very low |
AIR's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has the edge over AIR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AIR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.1 | Neutral |
AIR's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
AIR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AIR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 24x | 8.2% below |
| PE % | 31 | 58 | 27 pts below |
AIR has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
AIR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $103.9 | 4.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $121.6 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $113.7 | 4.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $91.7 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $76.6 | 41% above |
AIR has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
AIR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $45.3 | $35.5 | -22% |
| 2021 | $35.5 | $38.5 | +8.5% |
| 2022 | $38.5 | $42.9 | +11% |
| 2023 | $42.9 | $62.4 | +45% |
| 2024 | $62.4 | $60.4 | -3.2% |
| 2025 | $60.4 | $85.1 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.1 | $108.3 | +27% |
AIR has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.