AIR

AAR Corp.

71
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AIR's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 22x earnings, below its usual 31x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

AIR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

AIR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

AIR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$108—
Cheap20x$98.18-9.3%
Current22x$108—
Fair31x$151+40%
Expensive165x$809+647%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AIR's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

AIR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AIR, with profitability holding steady.

AIR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$153.12
Downside-16%$90.46

Calculated from the latest close: $108.25 on Nov 12.

AIR's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +41% against −16%.

AIR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $1.68Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.81Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $4.53Q2 2026: $4.86Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $5.92
Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $1.68Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.81Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $4.53Q2 2026: $4.86Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $5.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.92+21%
Q3 2026$4.91+514%
Q2 2026$4.86+1289%
Q1 2026$4.53+$4.90
Q4 2025$2.57+852%
Q3 2025$0.80-56%
Q2 2025$0.35-73%
Q1 2025-$0.37-122%
Q4 2024$0.27-86%

AIR's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.91 over the past year, up from $0.80 the year before.

AIR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $545MQ1 2024: $567MQ2 2024: $657MQ3 2024: $662MQ4 2024: $686MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $755MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $795MQ1 2026: $845MQ2 2026: $928MQ3 2026: $918M
Q4 2023: $545MQ1 2024: $567MQ2 2024: $657MQ3 2024: $662MQ4 2024: $686MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $755MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $795MQ1 2026: $845MQ2 2026: $928MQ3 2026: $918M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$918M+24%
Q2 2026$928M+23%
Q1 2026$845.1M+25%
Q4 2025$795.3M+16%
Q3 2025$739.6M+12%
Q2 2025$754.5M+15%
Q1 2025$678.2M+20%
Q4 2024$686.1M+26%

AIR's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $918M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

AIR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44M+$97.6M
Q2 2026$43.3M+4.6%
Q1 2026$66.2M+$93.4M
Q4 2025$6.2M-55%
Q3 2025-$53.6M-$27.1M
Q2 2025$41.4M+144%
Q1 2025-$27.2M-286%
Q4 2024$13.7M+36%

AIR's free cash flow has turned positive again: $160M over the past year, against −$26M the year before.

AIR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 35MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 35MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+1.5M shares
1 year+11%+4M shares
3 years+14%+4.8M shares
5 years+13%+4.6M shares
Available history+14%+4.9M shares

AIR has 40M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

AIR Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20231.2xHealthy
Q1 20230.8xVery low
Q4 20220.9xVery low
Q3 20220.4xVery low
Q2 20220.3xVery low
Q1 20220.5xVery low

AIR's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

AIR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

AIR's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

AIR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAIRSector medianRelative
PE22x24x8.2% below
PE %315827 pts below

AIR is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

AIR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$103.94.2% above
20 week MA$121.611% below
50 week MA$113.74.8% below
100 week MA$91.718% above
200 week MA$76.641% above

AIR's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.

AIR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.3$35.5-22%
2021$35.5$38.5+8.5%
2022$38.5$42.9+11%
2023$42.9$62.4+45%
2024$62.4$60.4-3.2%
2025$60.4$85.1+41%
2026 YTD$85.1$108.3+27%

AIR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 27% so far in 2026.

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