AIR

AAR Corp.

71
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

AIR has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AIR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

AIR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AIR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$108—
Cheap20x$98.18-9.3%
Current22x$108—
Fair31x$151+40%
Expensive165x$809+647%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AIR's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AIR, with profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over AIR on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AIR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$153.12
Downside-16%$90.46

Calculated from the latest close: $108.25 on Nov 12.

AIR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails AIR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $1.68Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.81Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $4.53Q2 2026: $4.86Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $5.92
Q4 2023: $1.91Q1 2024: $1.68Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.81Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.80Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $4.53Q2 2026: $4.86Q3 2026: $4.91Forward: $5.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.92+21%
Q3 2026$4.91+514%
Q2 2026$4.86+1289%
Q1 2026$4.53+$4.90
Q4 2025$2.57+852%
Q3 2025$0.80-56%
Q2 2025$0.35-73%
Q1 2025-$0.37-122%
Q4 2024$0.27-86%

AIR has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

AIR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $545MQ1 2024: $567MQ2 2024: $657MQ3 2024: $662MQ4 2024: $686MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $755MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $795MQ1 2026: $845MQ2 2026: $928MQ3 2026: $918M
Q4 2023: $545MQ1 2024: $567MQ2 2024: $657MQ3 2024: $662MQ4 2024: $686MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $755MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $795MQ1 2026: $845MQ2 2026: $928MQ3 2026: $918M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$918M+24%
Q2 2026$928M+23%
Q1 2026$845.1M+25%
Q4 2025$795.3M+16%
Q3 2025$739.6M+12%
Q2 2025$754.5M+15%
Q1 2025$678.2M+20%
Q4 2024$686.1M+26%

AIR's revenue has grown year over year for 16 quarters in a row: $918M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over AIR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AIR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$27MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: −$54MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44M+$97.6M
Q2 2026$43.3M+4.6%
Q1 2026$66.2M+$93.4M
Q4 2025$6.2M-55%
Q3 2025-$53.6M-$27.1M
Q2 2025$41.4M+144%
Q1 2025-$27.2M-286%
Q4 2024$13.7M+36%

AIR has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

AIR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 35MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 35MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+1.5M shares
1 year+11%+4M shares
3 years+14%+4.8M shares
5 years+13%+4.6M shares
Available history+14%+4.9M shares

AIR has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

AIR Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20231.2xHealthy
Q1 20230.8xVery low
Q4 20220.9xVery low
Q3 20220.4xVery low
Q2 20220.3xVery low
Q1 20220.5xVery low

AIR's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AIR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

AIR's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AIR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAIRSector medianRelative
PE22x24x8.4% below
PE %315827 pts below

AIR is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$103.94.2% above
20 week MA$121.611% below
50 week MA$113.74.8% below
100 week MA$91.718% above
200 week MA$76.641% above

AIR's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

AIR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$45.3$35.5-22%
2021$35.5$38.5+8.5%
2022$38.5$42.9+11%
2023$42.9$62.4+45%
2024$62.4$60.4-3.2%
2025$60.4$85.1+41%
2026 YTD$85.1$108.3+27%

AIR has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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