AIG
American International Group, Inc.
AIG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over AIG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AIG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AIG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AIG.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
AIG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.6x | $28.10 | -66% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $82.57 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $67.19 | -19% |
| Current | 13x | $82.57 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $89.12 | +7.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AIG's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over AIG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AIG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
AIG has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
AIG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.55 | +39% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.15 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.48 | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.68 | +$8.34 |
| Q4 2025 | $5.43 | +$7.51 |
| Q3 2025 | $5.50 | +$8.90 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.28 | +$6.58 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.66 | -140% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.08 | -142% |
AIG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.15 over the past year, against $16.81 in late 2022.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over AIG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AIG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.4B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.6B | -8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.4B | -5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.1B | +8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | -46% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.2B | -27% |
AIG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $7.4B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +35 points |
AIG's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM has the edge over AIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over AIG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AIG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +100% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $155M | +$211M |
| Q4 2025 | $636M | +409% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +50% |
| Q1 2025 | -$56M | -111% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.7B | -52% |
AIG has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
AIG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -6.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -31.3M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -192M shares |
| 5 years | -39% | -337M shares |
| Available history | -41% | -369M shares |
AIG has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $529M |
| Q2 2026 | $645M |
| Q1 2026 | $508M |
| Q4 2025 | $584M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B |
AIG spent $2.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
AIG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
AIG has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
AIG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.3 | Neutral |
AIG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
AIG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AIG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 3.1% above |
| PE % | 69 | 63 | 6 pts above |
AIG has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AIG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.8 | 4.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.1 | 5.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $77.7 | 6.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $78.6 | 5% above |
| 200 week MA | $72.6 | 14% above |
AIG has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
AIG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $37.4 | -27% |
| 2021 | $37.4 | $56.6 | +51% |
| 2022 | $56.6 | $63.2 | +12% |
| 2023 | $63.2 | $67.8 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $67.8 | $73.0 | +7.7% |
| 2025 | $73.0 | $86.5 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.5 | $82.6 | -4.5% |
AIG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 4.5% so far in 2026.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has the edge over AIG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.