AIG

American International Group, Inc.

51
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

AIG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

AIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AIG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AIG.

AIG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x28x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x28x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.6x$28.10-66%
Forward9.7x$82.57—
Fair11x$67.19-19%
Current13x$82.57—
Expensive14x$89.12+7.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AIG's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AIG, with profitability improving.

AIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$97.74
Downside-9%$75.29

Calculated from the latest close: $82.57 on Nov 12.

AIG's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +18% against −8.8%.

AIG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.98Q1 2024: $6.69Q2 2024: $-1.30Q3 2024: $-3.40Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-2.66Q2 2025: $5.28Q3 2025: $5.50Q4 2025: $5.43Q1 2026: $5.68Q2 2026: $5.48Q3 2026: $6.15Forward: $8.55
Q4 2023: $4.98Q1 2024: $6.69Q2 2024: $-1.30Q3 2024: $-3.40Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-2.66Q2 2025: $5.28Q3 2025: $5.50Q4 2025: $5.43Q1 2026: $5.68Q2 2026: $5.48Q3 2026: $6.15Forward: $8.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.55+39%
Q3 2026$6.15+12%
Q2 2026$5.48+3.8%
Q1 2026$5.68+$8.34
Q4 2025$5.43+$7.51
Q3 2025$5.50+$8.90
Q2 2025$5.28+$6.58
Q1 2025-$2.66-140%
Q4 2024-$2.08-142%

AIG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.15 over the past year, against $16.81 in late 2022.

AIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $12.6BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.4B
Q4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $12.6BQ2 2024: $6.6BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.2BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $7.1BQ3 2025: $6.4BQ4 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.4B+17%
Q2 2026$7.1B-0.1%
Q1 2026$6.7B-2%
Q4 2025$6.6B-8.7%
Q3 2025$6.4B-5.9%
Q2 2025$7.1B+8.1%
Q1 2025$6.8B-46%
Q4 2024$7.2B-27%

AIG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $7.4B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

AIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $519MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$56MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $519MQ2 2024: $930MQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$56MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $155MQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+100%
Q2 2026$1.7B+23%
Q1 2026$155M+$211M
Q4 2025$636M+409%
Q3 2025$1.3B-21%
Q2 2025$1.4B+50%
Q1 2025-$56M-111%
Q3 2024$1.7B-52%

AIG's free cash flow was $5.2B over the past year, up 85% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AIG.

AIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 725MQ1 2024: 688MQ2 2024: 667MQ3 2024: 647MQ4 2024: 627MQ1 2025: 599MQ2 2025: 578MQ3 2025: 559MQ4 2025: 570MQ1 2026: 542MQ2 2026: 534MQ3 2026: 527M
Q4 2023: 725MQ1 2024: 688MQ2 2024: 667MQ3 2024: 647MQ4 2024: 627MQ1 2025: 599MQ2 2025: 578MQ3 2025: 559MQ4 2025: 570MQ1 2026: 542MQ2 2026: 534MQ3 2026: 527M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-6.3M shares
1 year-5.6%-31.3M shares
3 years-27%-192M shares
5 years-39%-337M shares
Available history-41%-369M shares

AIG has 527M diluted shares, down 5.6% from a year ago, with $2.3B in buybacks over the past year.

AIG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20240.9xVery low

AIG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AIG.

AIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.8Neutral
Stochastic75.3Neutral

AIG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

AIG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAIGSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.1% above
PE %69636 pts above

AIG is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.84.8% above
20 week MA$78.15.7% above
50 week MA$77.76.3% above
100 week MA$78.65% above
200 week MA$72.614% above

AIG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

AIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$37.4-27%
2021$37.4$56.6+51%
2022$56.6$63.2+12%
2023$63.2$67.8+7.3%
2024$67.8$73.0+7.7%
2025$73.0$86.5+18%
2026 YTD$86.5$82.6-4.5%

AIG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 4.5% so far in 2026.

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