AIG
American International Group, Inc.
AIG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has the edge over AIG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AIG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AIG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AIG.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
AIG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.6x | $28.10 | -66% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $82.57 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $67.19 | -19% |
| Current | 13x | $82.57 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $89.12 | +7.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AIG's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS has the edge over AIG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AIG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
AIG has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AIG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.55 | +39% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.15 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.48 | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.68 | +$8.34 |
| Q4 2025 | $5.43 | +$7.51 |
| Q3 2025 | $5.50 | +$8.90 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.28 | +$6.58 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.66 | -140% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.08 | -142% |
AIG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.15 over the past year, against $16.81 in late 2022.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over AIG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AIG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.4B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.6B | -8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.4B | -5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.1B | +8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | -46% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.2B | -27% |
AIG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $7.4B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +35 points |
AIG's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS has the edge over AIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS has the edge over AIG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AIG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +100% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $155M | +$211M |
| Q4 2025 | $636M | +409% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +50% |
| Q1 2025 | -$56M | -111% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.7B | -52% |
AIG has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
AIG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -6.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -31.3M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -192M shares |
| 5 years | -39% | -337M shares |
| Available history | -41% | -369M shares |
AIG has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $529M |
| Q2 2026 | $645M |
| Q1 2026 | $508M |
| Q4 2025 | $584M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B |
AIG spent $2.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
AIG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
AIG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AIG.
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has the edge over AIG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AIG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.3 | Neutral |
AIG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AIG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AIG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 3.1% above |
| PE % | 69 | 63 | 6 pts above |
AIG is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over AIG on valuation relative to its sector.
AIG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.8 | 4.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.1 | 5.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $77.7 | 6.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $78.6 | 5% above |
| 200 week MA | $72.6 | 14% above |
AIG has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
AIG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $37.4 | -27% |
| 2021 | $37.4 | $56.6 | +51% |
| 2022 | $56.6 | $63.2 | +12% |
| 2023 | $63.2 | $67.8 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $67.8 | $73.0 | +7.7% |
| 2025 | $73.0 | $86.5 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.5 | $82.6 | -4.5% |
AIG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 4.5% so far in 2026.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has the edge over AIG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.