AIG
American International Group, Inc.
AIG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BAC
Bank of America Corporation
BAC has the edge over AIG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
AIG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AIG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AIG.
BAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.
AIG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.6x | $28.10 | -66% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $82.57 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $67.19 | -19% |
| Current | 13x | $82.57 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $89.12 | +7.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AIG's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BAC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.4x | $39.50 | -22% |
| Forward | 10x | $50.51 | — |
| Current | 12x | $50.51 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $53.81 | +6.5% |
| Expensive | 15x | $62.23 | +23% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BAC has the edge over AIG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AIG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AIG, with profitability improving.
BAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAC, with profitability improving.
AIG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.55 | +39% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.15 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.48 | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.68 | +$8.34 |
| Q4 2025 | $5.43 | +$7.51 |
| Q3 2025 | $5.50 | +$8.90 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.28 | +$6.58 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.66 | -140% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.08 | -142% |
AIG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.15 over the past year, against $16.81 in late 2022.
BAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.92 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.19 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.34 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.02 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.81 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.41 | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.35 | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.21 | +4.2% |
BAC has the edge over AIG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AIG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.4B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.6B | -8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.4B | -5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.1B | +8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | -46% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.2B | -27% |
AIG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $7.4B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +35 points |
AIG's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30B | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.6B | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.3B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $31.2B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.4B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.3B | +15% |
BAC has the edge over AIG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +7.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +14 points |
BAC has the edge over AIG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AIG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +100% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $155M | +$211M |
| Q4 2025 | $636M | +409% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +50% |
| Q1 2025 | -$56M | -111% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.7B | -52% |
AIG has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.5B | -114% |
| Q2 2026 | $29B | +$38.2B |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8B | +$44B |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.9B | -189% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.9B | +$84.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.1B | -150% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.2B | +$13.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $25.9B | -21% |
BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
AIG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -6.3M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -31.3M shares |
| 3 years | -27% | -192M shares |
| 5 years | -39% | -337M shares |
| Available history | -41% | -369M shares |
AIG has the edge over BAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $529M |
| Q2 2026 | $645M |
| Q1 2026 | $508M |
| Q4 2025 | $584M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B |
AIG spent $2.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 68% from the year before.
BAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -72M shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -405M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -854M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -1.3B shares |
| Available history | -24% | -2.2B shares |
BAC has 7.2B diluted shares, down 5.3% from a year ago, with $25.6B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6B |
| Q2 2026 | $6B |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B |
BAC spent $25.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
AIG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
AIG has the edge over BAC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.0x | High |
BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.
AIG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.3 | Neutral |
AIG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
BAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.9 | Oversold |
BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
AIG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AIG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 3.1% above |
| PE % | 69 | 63 | 6 pts above |
AIG is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 7.5% below |
| PE % | 40 | 63 | 23 pts below |
BAC has the edge over AIG on valuation relative to its sector.
AIG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.8 | 4.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.1 | 5.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $77.7 | 6.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $78.6 | 5% above |
| 200 week MA | $72.6 | 14% above |
AIG has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $52.1 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $54.7 | 7.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $50.5 | 0% below |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 19% above |
BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.
AIG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $37.4 | -27% |
| 2021 | $37.4 | $56.6 | +51% |
| 2022 | $56.6 | $63.2 | +12% |
| 2023 | $63.2 | $67.8 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $67.8 | $73.0 | +7.7% |
| 2025 | $73.0 | $86.5 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.5 | $82.6 | -4.5% |
AIG has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.4 | $30.0 | -15% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $44.4 | +48% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $33.7 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $33.7 | $44.3 | +32% |
| 2025 | $44.3 | $56.2 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $56.2 | $50.5 | -10% |
BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.