AGNC

AGNC Investment Corp.

34
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AGNC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 103x earnings, about nine times its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OPEN yet.

AGNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
N/A
N/A

AGNC's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like AGNC.

OPEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

OPEN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like OPEN.

AGNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x103x154x206x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x103x154x206x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.7x$8.20โ€”
Cheap6.7x$0.54-93%
Fair11x$0.90-89%
Expensive26x$2.09-75%
Current103x$8.20โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AGNC's PE is in its expensive range at 103x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.7x, in its cheap range.

OPEN PE Valuation

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AGNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AGNC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OPEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPEN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AGNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$9.49
Downside-13%$7.11

Calculated from the latest close: $8.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGNC and OPEN's risk to reward.

OPEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGNC and OPEN's risk to reward.

AGNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.95Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $1.44
Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.95Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.44+1706%
Q3 2026$0.08-87%
Q2 2026$1.97+557%
Q1 2026$1.28+256%
Q4 2025$1.47+58%
Q3 2025$0.63-57%
Q2 2025$0.30-27%
Q1 2025$0.36-62%
Q4 2024$0.93+1760%

AGNC has the edge over OPEN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.00-$1.56
Q2 2026-$1.89-$1.46
Q1 2026-$1.76-$1.24
Q4 2025-$1.70-$1.14
Q3 2025-$0.44+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.43+$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.52-$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.56-$0.14

OPEN lost $2.00 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

AGNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

AGNC and OPEN do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

OPEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+12%
Q2 2026$883M-44%
Q1 2026$720M-38%
Q4 2025$736M-32%
Q3 2025$915M-34%
Q2 2025$1.6B+3.7%
Q1 2025$1.2B-2.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B+25%

OPEN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

AGNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: โˆ’$20MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: $387MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $404M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: โˆ’$20MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: $387MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $404M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$404M+164%
Q2 2026$218M+21%
Q1 2026$387M+102%
Q4 2025$128M+62%
Q3 2025$153M+2086%
Q2 2025$180M+$200M
Q1 2025$192M+860%
Q4 2024$79M+$110M

AGNC has the edge over OPEN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OPEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$551MQ1 2024: โˆ’$186MQ2 2024: โˆ’$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: โˆ’$83MQ1 2025: โˆ’$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: โˆ’$250MQ2 2026: โˆ’$723MQ3 2026: โˆ’$836M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$836M-294%
Q2 2026-$723M-188%
Q1 2026-$250M+$33M
Q4 2025$67M+$150M
Q3 2025$432M+671%
Q2 2025$821M+$1.2B
Q1 2025-$283M-$97M
Q4 2024-$83M+$468M

OPEN's free cash flow was โˆ’$1.7B over the past year, against $887M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

AGNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 620MQ1 2024: 704MQ2 2024: 740MQ3 2024: 810MQ4 2024: 786MQ1 2025: 922MQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.2BQ3 2026: 1.2B
Q4 2023: 620MQ1 2024: 704MQ2 2024: 740MQ3 2024: 810MQ4 2024: 786MQ1 2025: 922MQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.2BQ3 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+38.5M shares
1 year+14%+144M shares
3 years+93%+579M shares
5 years+127%+672M shares
Available history+121%+658M shares

AGNC has the edge over OPEN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OPEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-16.3M shares
1 year+30%+220M shares
3 years+42%+282M shares
5 years+61%+361M shares
Available history+1042%+866M shares

OPEN has 949M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

AGNC Net Leverage

OPEN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022337.2xHigh

OPEN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

AGNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.0Oversold
Stochastic8.2Oversold

AGNC's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

OPEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.6Oversold
Stochastic1.2Oversold

OPEN's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

AGNC PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricAGNCSector medianRelative
PE103x24x329% above
PE %922369 pts above

AGNC is trading at 103x earnings, a 329% premium to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

OPEN PE vs Real Estate Sector

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AGNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.786.6% below
20 week MA$9.9618% below
50 week MA$10.421% below
100 week MA$10.018% below
200 week MA$9.9217% below

AGNC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

OPEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.9737% below
20 week MA$3.0059% below
50 week MA$4.3772% below
100 week MA$3.7467% below
200 week MA$3.1360% below

OPEN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

AGNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.0$15.6-14%
2021$15.6$15.4-1.2%
2022$15.4$10.7-30%
2023$10.7$9.81-8.4%
2024$9.81$9.33-4.9%
2025$9.33$10.9+16%
2026 YTD$10.9$8.20-24%

AGNC has the edge over OPEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OPEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$27.4+150%
2021$27.4$14.9-46%
2022$14.9$1.02-93%
2023$1.02$4.48+339%
2024$4.48$1.67-63%
2025$1.67$6.01+260%
2026 YTD$6.01$1.24-79%

OPEN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +339% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

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