AGNC

AGNC Investment Corp.

34
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AGNC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 103x earnings, about nine times its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

AGNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
N/A
N/A

AGNC's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like AGNC.

AGNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x103x154x206x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x103x154x206x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.7x$8.20—
Cheap6.7x$0.54-93%
Fair11x$0.90-89%
Expensive26x$2.09-75%
Current103x$8.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AGNC's PE is in its expensive range at 103x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.7x, in its cheap range.

AGNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AGNC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AGNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$9.49
Downside-13%$7.11

Calculated from the latest close: $8.20 on Nov 12.

AGNC's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +16% against −13%.

AGNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.95Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $1.44
Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.95Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $1.97Q3 2026: $0.08Forward: $1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.44+1706%
Q3 2026$0.08-87%
Q2 2026$1.97+557%
Q1 2026$1.28+256%
Q4 2025$1.47+58%
Q3 2025$0.63-57%
Q2 2025$0.30-27%
Q1 2025$0.36-62%
Q4 2024$0.93+1760%

AGNC earned $0.08 per share over the past year, down 87% from the year before.

AGNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

AGNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: $387MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $404M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $192MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: $387MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $404M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$404M+164%
Q2 2026$218M+21%
Q1 2026$387M+102%
Q4 2025$128M+62%
Q3 2025$153M+2086%
Q2 2025$180M+$200M
Q1 2025$192M+860%
Q4 2024$79M+$110M

AGNC's free cash flow was $1.1B over the past year, up 88% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like AGNC.

AGNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 620MQ1 2024: 704MQ2 2024: 740MQ3 2024: 810MQ4 2024: 786MQ1 2025: 922MQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.2BQ3 2026: 1.2B
Q4 2023: 620MQ1 2024: 704MQ2 2024: 740MQ3 2024: 810MQ4 2024: 786MQ1 2025: 922MQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.2BQ3 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+38.5M shares
1 year+14%+144M shares
3 years+93%+579M shares
5 years+127%+672M shares
Available history+121%+658M shares

AGNC has 1.2B diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

AGNC Net Leverage

AGNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.0Oversold
Stochastic8.2Oversold

AGNC's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AGNC PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricAGNCSector medianRelative
PE103x24x329% above
PE %922369 pts above

AGNC is trading at 103x earnings, a 329% premium to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

AGNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.786.6% below
20 week MA$9.9618% below
50 week MA$10.421% below
100 week MA$10.018% below
200 week MA$9.9217% below

AGNC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

AGNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.0$15.6-14%
2021$15.6$15.4-1.2%
2022$15.4$10.7-30%
2023$10.7$9.81-8.4%
2024$9.81$9.33-4.9%
2025$9.33$10.9+16%
2026 YTD$10.9$8.20-24%

AGNC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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