AGIO

Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score AGIO yet.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

AGIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

AGIO's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AGIO PE Valuation

AGIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AGIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AGIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AGIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $31.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGIO and NVO's risk to reward.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGIO and NVO's risk to reward.

AGIO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.33Q1 2024: $-6.31Q2 2024: $-6.49Q3 2024: $11.37Q4 2024: $11.64Q1 2025: $11.54Q2 2025: $11.30Q3 2025: $-6.70Q4 2025: $-7.12Q1 2026: $-7.26Q2 2026: $-7.02Q3 2026: $-6.33
Q4 2023: $-6.33Q1 2024: $-6.31Q2 2024: $-6.49Q3 2024: $11.37Q4 2024: $11.64Q1 2025: $11.54Q2 2025: $11.30Q3 2025: $-6.70Q4 2025: $-7.12Q1 2026: $-7.26Q2 2026: $-7.02Q3 2026: $-6.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$6.33+$0.37
Q2 2026-$7.02-162%
Q1 2026-$7.26-163%
Q4 2025-$7.12-161%
Q3 2025-$6.70-159%
Q2 2025$11.30+$17.79
Q1 2025$11.54+$17.85
Q4 2024$11.64+$17.97

AGIO lost $6.33 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over AGIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AGIO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.4M+330%
Q2 2026$44.7M+259%
Q1 2026$20.7M+138%
Q4 2025$20M+86%
Q3 2025$12.9M+44%
Q2 2025$12.5M+45%
Q1 2025$8.7M+6.6%
Q4 2024$10.7M+51%

AGIO has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AGIO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$73MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: −$78MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$120MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$60M
Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$73MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: −$78MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$120MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$60M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$60.4M+$29.3M
Q2 2026-$58.5M+$19.5M
Q1 2026-$119.7M-$7.4M
Q4 2025-$97.3M+$36.8M
Q3 2025-$89.7M-$5.1M
Q2 2025-$78M-$5.3M
Q1 2025-$112.3M-$12.2M
Q4 2024-$134.1M-$61.4M

AGIO has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$336M over the past year, against −$414M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over AGIO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AGIO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+219K shares
1 year+2.7%+1.6M shares
3 years+7%+3.9M shares
5 years+4.7%+2.7M shares
Available history-0.5%-287K shares

AGIO has 60M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over AGIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AGIO Net Leverage

AGIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AGIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

AGIO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

AGIO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAGIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

AGIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

AGIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.00.8% below
20 week MA$33.75.6% below
50 week MA$30.92.7% above
100 week MA$32.83.1% below
200 week MA$32.41.9% below

AGIO's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.9% below its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

AGIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.5$45.2-6.9%
2021$45.2$35.8-21%
2022$35.8$27.0-25%
2023$27.0$22.3-18%
2024$22.3$33.4+50%
2025$33.4$28.0-16%
2026 YTD$28.0$31.8+13%

AGIO has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key