AGIO

Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score AGIO yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

AGIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

AGIO's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AGIO PE Valuation

AGIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AGIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AGIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

AGIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $31.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGIO and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AGIO and LLY's risk to reward.

AGIO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.33Q1 2024: $-6.31Q2 2024: $-6.49Q3 2024: $11.37Q4 2024: $11.64Q1 2025: $11.54Q2 2025: $11.30Q3 2025: $-6.70Q4 2025: $-7.12Q1 2026: $-7.26Q2 2026: $-7.02Q3 2026: $-6.33
Q4 2023: $-6.33Q1 2024: $-6.31Q2 2024: $-6.49Q3 2024: $11.37Q4 2024: $11.64Q1 2025: $11.54Q2 2025: $11.30Q3 2025: $-6.70Q4 2025: $-7.12Q1 2026: $-7.26Q2 2026: $-7.02Q3 2026: $-6.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$6.33+$0.37
Q2 2026-$7.02-162%
Q1 2026-$7.26-163%
Q4 2025-$7.12-161%
Q3 2025-$6.70-159%
Q2 2025$11.30+$17.79
Q1 2025$11.54+$17.85
Q4 2024$11.64+$17.97

AGIO lost $6.33 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AGIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AGIO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.4M+330%
Q2 2026$44.7M+259%
Q1 2026$20.7M+138%
Q4 2025$20M+86%
Q3 2025$12.9M+44%
Q2 2025$12.5M+45%
Q1 2025$8.7M+6.6%
Q4 2024$10.7M+51%

AGIO has the edge over LLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

AGIO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$73MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: −$78MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$120MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$60M
Q4 2023: −$73MQ1 2024: −$100MQ2 2024: −$73MQ3 2024: −$85MQ4 2024: −$134MQ1 2025: −$112MQ2 2025: −$78MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: −$97MQ1 2026: −$120MQ2 2026: −$59MQ3 2026: −$60M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$60.4M+$29.3M
Q2 2026-$58.5M+$19.5M
Q1 2026-$119.7M-$7.4M
Q4 2025-$97.3M+$36.8M
Q3 2025-$89.7M-$5.1M
Q2 2025-$78M-$5.3M
Q1 2025-$112.3M-$12.2M
Q4 2024-$134.1M-$61.4M

AGIO has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$336M over the past year, against −$414M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AGIO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AGIO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+219K shares
1 year+2.7%+1.6M shares
3 years+7%+3.9M shares
5 years+4.7%+2.7M shares
Available history-0.5%-287K shares

AGIO has 60M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over AGIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AGIO Net Leverage

AGIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AGIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.7Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

AGIO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AGIO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAGIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

AGIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AGIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.00.8% below
20 week MA$33.75.6% below
50 week MA$30.92.7% above
100 week MA$32.83.1% below
200 week MA$32.41.9% below

AGIO's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.9% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AGIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AGIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.5$45.2-6.9%
2021$45.2$35.8-21%
2022$35.8$27.0-25%
2023$27.0$22.3-18%
2024$22.3$33.4+50%
2025$33.4$28.0-16%
2026 YTD$28.0$31.8+13%

AGIO has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over AGIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key