AFL
Aflac Incorporated
AFL's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over AFL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
AFL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AFL's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFL.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
AFL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.5x | $57.77 | -54% |
| Fair | 10x | $68.92 | -46% |
| Expensive | 14x | $98.12 | -22% |
| Forward | 17x | $127 | — |
| Current | 19x | $127 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AFL's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over AFL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AFL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AFL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over AFL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
AFL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.62 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.80 | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.27 | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.75 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.82 | -29% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.69 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.44 | -53% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.43 | -29% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.63 | +24% |
AFL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.80 over the past year, against $9.63 in late 2024.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI has the edge over AFL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AFL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.3B | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.1B | -1% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.3B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9B | -9.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7B | +61% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4B | -37% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.4B | +43% |
AFL's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3.3B last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | -27 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +4.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +24 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | -7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 42% | +39 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | -20 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -36 points |
| Q4 2024 | 40% | +32 points |
AFL's operating margin was 15% last quarter, down 27 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over AFL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over AFL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AFL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | -4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $112M | -72% |
| Q1 2026 | $968M | +64% |
| Q4 2025 | $315M | -5.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $399M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $589M | -31% |
| Q4 2024 | $333M | -60% |
AFL has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
AFL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -6.9M shares |
| 1 year | -6.3% | -33.3M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -94.9M shares |
| 5 years | -26% | -173M shares |
| Available history | -33% | -248M shares |
AFL has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $803M |
| Q2 2026 | $984M |
| Q1 2026 | $1B |
| Q4 2025 | $801M |
| Q3 2025 | $1B |
| Q2 2025 | $829M |
| Q1 2025 | $900M |
| Q4 2024 | $750M |
AFL spent $3.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 3.1% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
AFL Net Leverage
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
AFL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.0 | Neutral |
AFL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
AFL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AFL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 43% above |
| PE % | 96 | 63 | 33 pts above |
AFL has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AFL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $119.3 | 6% above |
| 20 week MA | $120.1 | 5.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $115.5 | 9.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $110.8 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.3 | 30% above |
AFL has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
AFL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $52.6 | $43.8 | -17% |
| 2021 | $43.8 | $57.7 | +32% |
| 2022 | $57.7 | $71.8 | +24% |
| 2023 | $71.8 | $82.5 | +15% |
| 2024 | $82.5 | $103.4 | +25% |
| 2025 | $103.4 | $109.9 | +6.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $109.9 | $126.5 | +15% |
AFL has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.