AFL

Aflac Incorporated

39
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential18/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

AFL's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Its downside scenario is about five times its upside.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

AFL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AFL's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFL.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

AFL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.5x$57.77-54%
Fair10x$68.92-46%
Expensive14x$98.12-22%
Forward17x$127โ€”
Current19x$127โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFL's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AFL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AFL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$133.72
Downside-26%$93.96

Calculated from the latest close: $126.51 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFL and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFL and IREN's risk to reward.

AFL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.75Q1 2024: $9.06Q2 2024: $9.45Q3 2024: $6.64Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $6.43Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $6.82Q1 2026: $8.75Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $6.80Forward: $7.62
Q4 2023: $7.75Q1 2024: $9.06Q2 2024: $9.45Q3 2024: $6.64Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $6.43Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $6.82Q1 2026: $8.75Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $6.80Forward: $7.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.62+12%
Q3 2026$6.80-12%
Q2 2026$9.27+109%
Q1 2026$8.75+36%
Q4 2025$6.82-29%
Q3 2025$7.69+16%
Q2 2025$4.44-53%
Q1 2025$6.43-29%
Q4 2024$9.63+24%

AFL has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AFL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B-31%
Q2 2026$4.1B-1%
Q1 2026$4.3B+28%
Q4 2025$4.9B-9.9%
Q3 2025$4.7B+61%
Q2 2025$4.2B-19%
Q1 2025$3.4B-37%
Q4 2024$5.4B+43%

AFL's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3.3B last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN has the edge over AFL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AFL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $833MQ1 2024: $849MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $589MQ2 2025: $399MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $315MQ1 2026: $968MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $833MQ1 2024: $849MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $589MQ2 2025: $399MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $315MQ1 2026: $968MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-4.4%
Q2 2026$112M-72%
Q1 2026$968M+64%
Q4 2025$315M-5.4%
Q3 2025$1.3B-1.4%
Q2 2025$399M+56%
Q1 2025$589M-31%
Q4 2024$333M-60%

AFL has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

AFL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 599MQ1 2024: 577MQ2 2024: 567MQ3 2024: 560MQ4 2024: 565MQ1 2025: 547MQ2 2025: 538MQ3 2025: 532MQ4 2025: 535MQ1 2026: 515MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 499M
Q4 2023: 599MQ1 2024: 577MQ2 2024: 567MQ3 2024: 560MQ4 2024: 565MQ1 2025: 547MQ2 2025: 538MQ3 2025: 532MQ4 2025: 535MQ1 2026: 515MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 499M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-6.9M shares
1 year-6.3%-33.3M shares
3 years-16%-94.9M shares
5 years-26%-173M shares
Available history-33%-248M shares

AFL has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

AFL Net Leverage

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

AFL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.7Neutral
Stochastic71.0Neutral

AFL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AFL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAFLSector medianRelative
PE19x13x43% above
PE %966333 pts above

AFL is trading at 19x earnings, a 43% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$119.36% above
20 week MA$120.15.3% above
50 week MA$115.59.5% above
100 week MA$110.814% above
200 week MA$97.330% above

AFL has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

AFL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.6$43.8-17%
2021$43.8$57.7+32%
2022$57.7$71.8+24%
2023$71.8$82.5+15%
2024$82.5$103.4+25%
2025$103.4$109.9+6.3%
2026 YTD$109.9$126.5+15%

AFL has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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