AFL

Aflac Incorporated

39
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential18/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

AFL's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Its downside scenario is about five times its upside.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

AFL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AFL's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AFL.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

AFL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.5x$57.77-54%
Fair10x$68.92-46%
Expensive14x$98.12-22%
Forward17x$127โ€”
Current19x$127โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AFL's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AFL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AFL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$133.72
Downside-26%$93.96

Calculated from the latest close: $126.51 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFL and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AFL and COIN's risk to reward.

AFL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.75Q1 2024: $9.06Q2 2024: $9.45Q3 2024: $6.64Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $6.43Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $6.82Q1 2026: $8.75Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $6.80Forward: $7.62
Q4 2023: $7.75Q1 2024: $9.06Q2 2024: $9.45Q3 2024: $6.64Q4 2024: $9.63Q1 2025: $6.43Q2 2025: $4.44Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $6.82Q1 2026: $8.75Q2 2026: $9.27Q3 2026: $6.80Forward: $7.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.62+12%
Q3 2026$6.80-12%
Q2 2026$9.27+109%
Q1 2026$8.75+36%
Q4 2025$6.82-29%
Q3 2025$7.69+16%
Q2 2025$4.44-53%
Q1 2025$6.43-29%
Q4 2024$9.63+24%

AFL has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AFL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B-31%
Q2 2026$4.1B-1%
Q1 2026$4.3B+28%
Q4 2025$4.9B-9.9%
Q3 2025$4.7B+61%
Q2 2025$4.2B-19%
Q1 2025$3.4B-37%
Q4 2024$5.4B+43%

AFL's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $3.3B last quarter, down 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

AFL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $833MQ1 2024: $849MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $589MQ2 2025: $399MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $315MQ1 2026: $968MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $833MQ1 2024: $849MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $589MQ2 2025: $399MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $315MQ1 2026: $968MQ2 2026: $112MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-4.4%
Q2 2026$112M-72%
Q1 2026$968M+64%
Q4 2025$315M-5.4%
Q3 2025$1.3B-1.4%
Q2 2025$399M+56%
Q1 2025$589M-31%
Q4 2024$333M-60%

AFL's free cash flow was $2.6B over the past year, about the same as the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AFL.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over AFL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AFL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 599MQ1 2024: 577MQ2 2024: 567MQ3 2024: 560MQ4 2024: 565MQ1 2025: 547MQ2 2025: 538MQ3 2025: 532MQ4 2025: 535MQ1 2026: 515MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 499M
Q4 2023: 599MQ1 2024: 577MQ2 2024: 567MQ3 2024: 560MQ4 2024: 565MQ1 2025: 547MQ2 2025: 538MQ3 2025: 532MQ4 2025: 535MQ1 2026: 515MQ2 2026: 506MQ3 2026: 499M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-6.9M shares
1 year-6.3%-33.3M shares
3 years-16%-94.9M shares
5 years-26%-173M shares
Available history-33%-248M shares

AFL has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

AFL Net Leverage

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

AFL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.7Neutral
Stochastic71.0Neutral

AFL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AFL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAFLSector medianRelative
PE19x13x43% above
PE %966333 pts above

AFL is trading at 19x earnings, a 43% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AFL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$119.36% above
20 week MA$120.15.3% above
50 week MA$115.59.5% above
100 week MA$110.814% above
200 week MA$97.330% above

AFL has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

AFL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.6$43.8-17%
2021$43.8$57.7+32%
2022$57.7$71.8+24%
2023$71.8$82.5+15%
2024$82.5$103.4+25%
2025$103.4$109.9+6.3%
2026 YTD$109.9$126.5+15%

AFL has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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