AERO
Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V.
AERO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has a slight edge over AERO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AERO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
AERO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AERO PE Valuation
AERO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AERO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AERO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AERO Earnings Per Share
AERO and RKLB do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
AERO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +0.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | -4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -9.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | +3.5% |
AERO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1% | -14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +0.5 points |
AERO has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over AERO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AERO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $54.1M | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $97M | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $131.3M | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $223.8M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $123.2M | -9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $121.7M | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | $111.7M | -36% |
| Q4 2024 | $254.2M | -43% |
AERO has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
AERO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
AERO has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $205.3M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $409.3M |
AERO spent $205M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 50% from the year before.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AERO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
AERO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AERO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.8 | Neutral |
AERO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
AERO PE vs Industrials Sector
AERO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AERO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.8 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $15.6 | 7.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.8 | 0.4% below |
AERO has stronger trend alignment. AERO is above 2 of 3 weekly averages versus RKLB above 3 of 5.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
AERO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $19.4 | $22.9 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.9 | $16.7 | -27% |
AERO has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 27% so far in 2026.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB has the edge over AERO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.