AERO

Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V.

56
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

AERO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

AERO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

AERO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

AERO PE Valuation

AERO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AERO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AERO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AERO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$23.99
Downside-30%$11.74

Calculated from the latest close: $16.74 on Nov 12.

AERO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +43% against −30%.

AERO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $2.39Q1 2026: $2.32Q2 2026: $1.46Q3 2026: $1.09
Q4 2025: $2.39Q1 2026: $2.32Q2 2026: $1.46Q3 2026: $1.09

AERO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+14%
Q2 2026$1.5B+11%
Q1 2026$1.3B+14%
Q4 2025$1.4B+0.2%
Q3 2025$1.4B-4.4%
Q2 2025$1.3B-3.4%
Q1 2025$1.2B-9.9%
Q4 2024$1.4B+3.5%

AERO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

AERO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $383MQ3 2024: $136MQ4 2024: $254MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $224MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $383MQ3 2024: $136MQ4 2024: $254MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $123MQ4 2025: $224MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$54.1M-56%
Q2 2026$97M-20%
Q1 2026$131.3M+17%
Q4 2025$223.8M-12%
Q3 2025$123.2M-9.4%
Q2 2025$121.7M-68%
Q1 2025$111.7M-36%
Q4 2024$254.2M-43%

AERO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $506M over the past year.

AERO Total Shares

Q1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 146MQ3 2025: 146MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 146M
Q1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 146MQ3 2025: 146MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 146M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--

AERO has 146M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AERO Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

AERO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

AERO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic71.8Neutral

AERO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

AERO PE vs Industrials Sector

AERO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AERO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.86.2% above
20 week MA$15.67.2% above
50 week MA$16.80.4% below

AERO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 0.4% below its 50-week average.

AERO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$19.4$22.9+18%
2026 YTD$22.9$16.7-27%

AERO has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 27% so far in 2026.

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