ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

ADV offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has the edge over ADV overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ADV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ADV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ADV PE Valuation

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.0x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ADV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ADV's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

VZ has the edge over ADV on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

ADV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$61.77
Downside-49%$15.99

Calculated from the latest close: $31.42 on Nov 12.

ADV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails ADV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$24.65-$5.53
Q2 2026-$21.17+$2.71
Q1 2026-$18.67+$10.62
Q4 2025-$17.54+$7.88
Q3 2025-$19.12-$8.87
Q2 2025-$23.88-$15.13
Q1 2025-$29.29-$27.54
Q4 2024-$25.42-$20.42

ADV is still losing money, but far less than before: $24.65 per share over the past year, against $118.00 at its worst in late 2023.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over ADV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ADV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$913.7M-0.1%
Q2 2026$889.5M+1.8%
Q1 2026$869.6M+5.8%
Q4 2025$932.1M+4.5%
Q3 2025$915M-2.6%
Q2 2025$873.7M0%
Q1 2025$821.8M-6.5%
Q4 2024$892.3M-17%

ADV's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $914M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ has the edge over ADV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40.6M-22%
Q2 2026-$16M-$5.7M
Q1 2026$12.3M+$67.1M
Q4 2025$67.8M+33%
Q3 2025$52.2M+500%
Q2 2025-$10.2M-121%
Q1 2025-$54.7M-$30.7M
Q4 2024$51.2M+23%

ADV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $105M over the past year.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ has the edge over ADV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-100K shares
1 year-5.7%-777K shares
3 years-1.3%-172K shares
5 years+0.1%+11.8K shares
Available history+57%+4.7M shares

ADV has the edge over VZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has 4.2B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.

ADV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202625.2xHigh
Q2 202616.3xHigh
Q1 202614.7xHigh
Q4 202518.9xHigh
Q3 202521.6xHigh
Q2 202560.2xHigh
Q3 202411.2xHigh
Q2 202410.3xHigh

ADV's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ has the edge over ADV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

ADV's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ADV PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADVSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ is trading at 12x earnings, a 28% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

ADV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.53.2% above
20 week MA$33.25.3% below
50 week MA$29.37.2% above
100 week MA$36.414% below
200 week MA$56.144% below

ADV's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ has the edge over ADV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$260.0$333.5+28%
2021$333.5$195.5-41%
2022$195.5$46.8-76%
2023$46.8$90.5+94%
2024$90.5$74.3-18%
2025$74.3$22.2-70%
2026 YTD$22.2$31.4+41%

ADV has the edge over VZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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