ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

ADV lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect a turn to a loss.

ADV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ADV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

ADV PE Valuation

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ADV's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

ADV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$61.77
Downside-49%$15.99

Calculated from the latest close: $31.42 on Nov 12.

ADV's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +97% against −49%.

ADV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$24.65-$5.53
Q2 2026-$21.17+$2.71
Q1 2026-$18.67+$10.62
Q4 2025-$17.54+$7.88
Q3 2025-$19.12-$8.87
Q2 2025-$23.88-$15.13
Q1 2025-$29.29-$27.54
Q4 2024-$25.42-$20.42

ADV is still losing money, but far less than before: $24.65 per share over the past year, against $118.00 at its worst in late 2023.

ADV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$913.7M-0.1%
Q2 2026$889.5M+1.8%
Q1 2026$869.6M+5.8%
Q4 2025$932.1M+4.5%
Q3 2025$915M-2.6%
Q2 2025$873.7M0%
Q1 2025$821.8M-6.5%
Q4 2024$892.3M-17%

ADV's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $914M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

ADV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40.6M-22%
Q2 2026-$16M-$5.7M
Q1 2026$12.3M+$67.1M
Q4 2025$67.8M+33%
Q3 2025$52.2M+500%
Q2 2025-$10.2M-121%
Q1 2025-$54.7M-$30.7M
Q4 2024$51.2M+23%

ADV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $105M over the past year.

ADV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-100K shares
1 year-5.7%-777K shares
3 years-1.3%-172K shares
5 years+0.1%+11.8K shares
Available history+57%+4.7M shares

ADV has 13M diluted shares, down 5.7% from a year ago, with $19M in buybacks over the past year.

ADV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202625.2xHigh
Q2 202616.3xHigh
Q1 202614.7xHigh
Q4 202518.9xHigh
Q3 202521.6xHigh
Q2 202560.2xHigh
Q3 202411.2xHigh
Q2 202410.3xHigh

ADV's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

ADV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

ADV's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ADV PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADVSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ADV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.53.2% above
20 week MA$33.25.3% below
50 week MA$29.37.2% above
100 week MA$36.414% below
200 week MA$56.144% below

ADV's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 200-week average.

ADV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$260.0$333.5+28%
2021$333.5$195.5-41%
2022$195.5$46.8-76%
2023$46.8$90.5+94%
2024$90.5$74.3-18%
2025$74.3$22.2-70%
2026 YTD$22.2$31.4+41%

ADV is up 41% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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