ADV
Advantage Solutions Inc.
ADV offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over ADV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ADV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
ADV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ADV PE Valuation
ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ADV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Turning to a loss | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ADV's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over ADV on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ADV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$24.65 | -$5.53 |
| Q2 2026 | -$21.17 | +$2.71 |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.67 | +$10.62 |
| Q4 2025 | -$17.54 | +$7.88 |
| Q3 2025 | -$19.12 | -$8.87 |
| Q2 2025 | -$23.88 | -$15.13 |
| Q1 2025 | -$29.29 | -$27.54 |
| Q4 2024 | -$25.42 | -$20.42 |
RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 229% for ADV versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ADV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $913.7M | -0.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $889.5M | +1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $869.6M | +5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $932.1M | +4.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $915M | -2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $873.7M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $821.8M | -6.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $892.3M | -17% |
ADV's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $914M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +1.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.4% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -19% | -23 points |
ADV's operating margin was 0.8% last quarter, down 3.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over ADV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over ADV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $40.6M | -22% |
| Q2 2026 | -$16M | -$5.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3M | +$67.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $67.8M | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $52.2M | +500% |
| Q2 2025 | -$10.2M | -121% |
| Q1 2025 | -$54.7M | -$30.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $51.2M | +23% |
ADV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $105M over the past year.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over ADV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -5.7% | -777K shares |
| 3 years | -1.3% | -172K shares |
| 5 years | +0.1% | +11.8K shares |
| Available history | +57% | +4.7M shares |
ADV has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $14.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $869,000 |
| Q4 2024 | — |
ADV spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
ADV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 16.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 14.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 18.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 21.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 60.2x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 11.2x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 10.3x | High |
ADV's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over ADV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ADV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.3 | Neutral |
ADV's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
ADV PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | ADV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 16x | — |
ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
ADV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.5 | 3.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.2 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.3 | 7.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $36.4 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $56.1 | 44% below |
ADV has stronger trend alignment. ADV is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
ADV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $260.0 | $333.5 | +28% |
| 2021 | $333.5 | $195.5 | -41% |
| 2022 | $195.5 | $46.8 | -76% |
| 2023 | $46.8 | $90.5 | +94% |
| 2024 | $90.5 | $74.3 | -18% |
| 2025 | $74.3 | $22.2 | -70% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.2 | $31.4 | +41% |
ADV has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.