ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

ADV trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over ADV overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ADV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ADV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ADV PE Valuation

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

ADV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ADV's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over ADV on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ADV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$61.77
Downside-49%$15.99

Calculated from the latest close: $31.42 on Nov 12.

ADV trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$24.65-$5.53
Q2 2026-$21.17+$2.71
Q1 2026-$18.67+$10.62
Q4 2025-$17.54+$7.88
Q3 2025-$19.12-$8.87
Q2 2025-$23.88-$15.13
Q1 2025-$29.29-$27.54
Q4 2024-$25.42-$20.42

ADV is still losing money, but far less than before: $24.65 per share over the past year, against $118.00 at its worst in late 2023.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over ADV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ADV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$913.7M-0.1%
Q2 2026$889.5M+1.8%
Q1 2026$869.6M+5.8%
Q4 2025$932.1M+4.5%
Q3 2025$915M-2.6%
Q2 2025$873.7M0%
Q1 2025$821.8M-6.5%
Q4 2024$892.3M-17%

ADV's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $914M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over ADV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40.6M-22%
Q2 2026-$16M-$5.7M
Q1 2026$12.3M+$67.1M
Q4 2025$67.8M+33%
Q3 2025$52.2M+500%
Q2 2025-$10.2M-121%
Q1 2025-$54.7M-$30.7M
Q4 2024$51.2M+23%

ADV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $105M over the past year.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over ADV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-100K shares
1 year-5.7%-777K shares
3 years-1.3%-172K shares
5 years+0.1%+11.8K shares
Available history+57%+4.7M shares

ADV has the edge over NFLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.

ADV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202625.2xHigh
Q2 202616.3xHigh
Q1 202614.7xHigh
Q4 202518.9xHigh
Q3 202521.6xHigh
Q2 202560.2xHigh
Q3 202411.2xHigh
Q2 202410.3xHigh

ADV's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over ADV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

ADV's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

ADV PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADVSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

ADV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.53.2% above
20 week MA$33.25.3% below
50 week MA$29.37.2% above
100 week MA$36.414% below
200 week MA$56.144% below

ADV has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

ADV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$260.0$333.5+28%
2021$333.5$195.5-41%
2022$195.5$46.8-76%
2023$46.8$90.5+94%
2024$90.5$74.3-18%
2025$74.3$22.2-70%
2026 YTD$22.2$31.4+41%

ADV has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key