ADV

Advantage Solutions Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

ADV trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has the edge over ADV overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ADV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

ADV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

ADV PE Valuation

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL's PE is in its cheap range at 16x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22x.

ADV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ADV's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

ADV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$61.77
Downside-49%$15.99

Calculated from the latest close: $31.42 on Nov 12.

ADV trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ADV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
Q4 2023: $-5.00Q1 2024: $-1.75Q2 2024: $-8.75Q3 2024: $-10.25Q4 2024: $-25.42Q1 2025: $-29.29Q2 2025: $-23.88Q3 2025: $-19.12Q4 2025: $-17.54Q1 2026: $-18.67Q2 2026: $-21.17Q3 2026: $-24.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$24.65-$5.53
Q2 2026-$21.17+$2.71
Q1 2026-$18.67+$10.62
Q4 2025-$17.54+$7.88
Q3 2025-$19.12-$8.87
Q2 2025-$23.88-$15.13
Q1 2025-$29.29-$27.54
Q4 2024-$25.42-$20.42

ADV is still losing money, but far less than before: $24.65 per share over the past year, against $118.00 at its worst in late 2023.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over ADV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ADV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $879MQ2 2024: $873MQ3 2024: $939MQ4 2024: $892MQ1 2025: $822MQ2 2025: $874MQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $932MQ1 2026: $870MQ2 2026: $889MQ3 2026: $914M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$913.7M-0.1%
Q2 2026$889.5M+1.8%
Q1 2026$869.6M+5.8%
Q4 2025$932.1M+4.5%
Q3 2025$915M-2.6%
Q2 2025$873.7M0%
Q1 2025$821.8M-6.5%
Q4 2024$892.3M-17%

ADV's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $914M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL has the edge over ADV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $51MQ1 2025: −$55MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: −$16MQ3 2026: $41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40.6M-22%
Q2 2026-$16M-$5.7M
Q1 2026$12.3M+$67.1M
Q4 2025$67.8M+33%
Q3 2025$52.2M+500%
Q2 2025-$10.2M-121%
Q1 2025-$54.7M-$30.7M
Q4 2024$51.2M+23%

ADV has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

ADV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-100K shares
1 year-5.7%-777K shares
3 years-1.3%-172K shares
5 years+0.1%+11.8K shares
Available history+57%+4.7M shares

ADV has the edge over GOOGL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has 12.4B diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

ADV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 6.1xQ2 2024: 10.3xQ3 2024: 11.2xQ2 2025: 60.2xQ3 2025: 21.6xQ4 2025: 18.9xQ1 2026: 14.7xQ2 2026: 16.3xQ3 2026: 25.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202625.2xHigh
Q2 202616.3xHigh
Q1 202614.7xHigh
Q4 202518.9xHigh
Q3 202521.6xHigh
Q2 202560.2xHigh
Q3 202411.2xHigh
Q2 202410.3xHigh

ADV's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL has the edge over ADV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic41.3Neutral

ADV's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ADV PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricADVSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

ADV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ADV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.53.2% above
20 week MA$33.25.3% below
50 week MA$29.37.2% above
100 week MA$36.414% below
200 week MA$56.144% below

ADV's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 200-week average.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

ADV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$260.0$333.5+28%
2021$333.5$195.5-41%
2022$195.5$46.8-76%
2023$46.8$90.5+94%
2024$90.5$74.3-18%
2025$74.3$22.2-70%
2026 YTD$22.2$31.4+41%

ADV has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

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