ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
ADTN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over ADTN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
ADTN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
ADTN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ADTN PE Valuation
ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
ADTN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ADTN's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ADTN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.31 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.26 | +$0.82 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.28 | +$1.04 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.39 | +$1.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.52 | +$5.17 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.08 | +$5.43 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.32 | +$5.83 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.71 | +$5.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.69 | -$2.28 |
ADTN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.26 per share over the past year, against $7.15 at its worst in mid-2024.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ADTN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281.2M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $281.1M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $286.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $291.6M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $279.4M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $265.1M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $247.7M | +9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.9M | +7.7% |
ADTN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $281M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5% | +8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1% | +9.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | +149 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.9% | +9.8 points |
ADTN's operating margin was −0.3% last quarter, up 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADTN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$30.2M | -819% |
| Q2 2026 | $17M | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.2M | -86% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.6M | +$31.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.2M | -82% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.5M | +604% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.8M | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | -$895K | +$24.8M |
ADTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$30M, but it generated $22M over the past year.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADTN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +274K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +3.6% | +2.8M shares |
| 5 years | +64% | +31.8M shares |
| Available history | +70% | +33.4M shares |
ADTN has 81M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
ADTN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 39.3x | High |
| Q2 2022 | -7.4x | Net Cash |
ADTN's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ADTN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
ADTN's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
ADTN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADTN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ADTN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.22 | 22% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.96 | 39% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.73 | 50% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.95 | 46% below |
ADTN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ADTN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.74 | $15.0 | +54% |
| 2021 | $15.0 | $22.0 | +47% |
| 2022 | $22.0 | $18.8 | -15% |
| 2023 | $18.8 | $7.34 | -61% |
| 2024 | $7.34 | $8.21 | +12% |
| 2025 | $8.21 | $8.75 | +6.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.75 | $4.86 | -44% |
ADTN is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA has the edge over ADTN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.