ADTN

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

43
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ADTN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over ADTN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ADTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

ADTN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ADTN PE Valuation

ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

ADTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ADTN's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

MU has the edge over ADTN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ADTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$8.12
Downside-40%$2.90

Calculated from the latest close: $4.86 on Nov 12.

ADTN trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ADTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.41Q1 2024: $-7.02Q2 2024: $-7.15Q3 2024: $-6.51Q4 2024: $-5.69Q1 2025: $-1.71Q2 2025: $-1.32Q3 2025: $-1.08Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26Forward: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-3.41Q1 2024: $-7.02Q2 2024: $-7.15Q3 2024: $-6.51Q4 2024: $-5.69Q1 2025: $-1.71Q2 2025: $-1.32Q3 2025: $-1.08Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26Forward: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.31—
Q3 2026-$0.26+$0.82
Q2 2026-$0.28+$1.04
Q1 2026-$0.39+$1.32
Q4 2025-$0.52+$5.17
Q3 2025-$1.08+$5.43
Q2 2025-$1.32+$5.83
Q1 2025-$1.71+$5.31
Q4 2024-$5.69-$2.28

ADTN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.26 per share over the past year, against $7.15 at its worst in mid-2024.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over ADTN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ADTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $225MQ1 2024: $226MQ2 2024: $226MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $292MQ1 2026: $286MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $281M
Q4 2023: $225MQ1 2024: $226MQ2 2024: $226MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $292MQ1 2026: $286MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $281M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281.2M+0.6%
Q2 2026$281.1M+6.1%
Q1 2026$286.1M+15%
Q4 2025$291.6M+20%
Q3 2025$279.4M+23%
Q2 2025$265.1M+17%
Q1 2025$247.7M+9.5%
Q4 2024$242.9M+7.7%

ADTN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $281M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over ADTN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$895,000Q1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$30M
Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$895,000Q1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$30.2M-819%
Q2 2026$17M-38%
Q1 2026$5.2M-86%
Q4 2025$30.6M+$31.5M
Q3 2025$4.2M-82%
Q2 2025$27.5M+604%
Q1 2025$35.8M+54%
Q4 2024-$895K+$24.8M

ADTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$30M, but it generated $22M over the past year.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over ADTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+274K shares
1 year+1.8%+1.4M shares
3 years+3.6%+2.8M shares
5 years+64%+31.8M shares
Available history+70%+33.4M shares

ADTN has 81M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has the edge over ADTN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ADTN Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 39.3xQ2 2025: 16.1xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2025: 39.3xQ2 2025: 16.1xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20256.5xHigh
Q2 202516.1xHigh
Q1 202539.3xHigh
Q2 2022-7.4xNet Cash

ADTN's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has the edge over ADTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ADTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.6Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

ADTN's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ADTN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADTNSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU is trading at 11x earnings, a 61% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ADTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2222% below
20 week MA$7.9639% below
50 week MA$10.554% below
100 week MA$9.7350% below
200 week MA$8.9546% below

ADTN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over ADTN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.74$15.0+54%
2021$15.0$22.0+47%
2022$22.0$18.8-15%
2023$18.8$7.34-61%
2024$7.34$8.21+12%
2025$8.21$8.75+6.6%
2026 YTD$8.75$4.86-44%

ADTN is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over ADTN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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