ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
ADTN has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over ADTN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ADTN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
ADTN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
ADTN PE Valuation
ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ADTN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ADTN's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over ADTN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ADTN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.31 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.26 | +$0.82 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.28 | +$1.04 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.39 | +$1.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.52 | +$5.17 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.08 | +$5.43 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.32 | +$5.83 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.71 | +$5.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.69 | -$2.28 |
ADTN has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ADTN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281.2M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $281.1M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $286.1M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $291.6M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $279.4M | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $265.1M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $247.7M | +9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $242.9M | +7.7% |
ADTN has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5% | +8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1% | +9.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | +149 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.9% | +9.8 points |
ADTN's operating margin was −0.3% last quarter, up 0.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over ADTN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ADTN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$30.2M | -819% |
| Q2 2026 | $17M | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.2M | -86% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.6M | +$31.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.2M | -82% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.5M | +604% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.8M | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | -$895K | +$24.8M |
ADTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$30M, but it generated $22M over the past year.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over ADTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ADTN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +274K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +3.6% | +2.8M shares |
| 5 years | +64% | +31.8M shares |
| Available history | +70% | +33.4M shares |
ADTN has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
ADTN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 39.3x | High |
| Q2 2022 | -7.4x | Net Cash |
ADTN's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over ADTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ADTN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
ADTN's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ADTN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ADTN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ADTN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.22 | 22% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.96 | 39% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.73 | 50% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.95 | 46% below |
ADTN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has the edge over ADTN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ADTN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.74 | $15.0 | +54% |
| 2021 | $15.0 | $22.0 | +47% |
| 2022 | $22.0 | $18.8 | -15% |
| 2023 | $18.8 | $7.34 | -61% |
| 2024 | $7.34 | $8.21 | +12% |
| 2025 | $8.21 | $8.75 | +6.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.75 | $4.86 | -44% |
ADTN is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over ADTN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.