ADTN

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

43
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

ADTN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AMD

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

79
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AMD has the edge over ADTN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ADTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

ADTN's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ADTN PE Valuation

ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE576x1152x1728x2304x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward39x$585—
Cheap40x$182-69%
Fair112x$514-12%
Current127x$585—
Expensive206x$947+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMD's PE is in its fair range at 127x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 39x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ADTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ADTN's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

AMD has the edge over ADTN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ADTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$8.12
Downside-40%$2.90

Calculated from the latest close: $4.86 on Nov 12.

ADTN trails AMD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+83%$1,068.23
Downside-20%$471.03

Calculated from the latest close: $585.30 on Nov 12.

AMD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ADTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ADTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.41Q1 2024: $-7.02Q2 2024: $-7.15Q3 2024: $-6.51Q4 2024: $-5.69Q1 2025: $-1.71Q2 2025: $-1.32Q3 2025: $-1.08Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26Forward: $0.31
Q4 2023: $-3.41Q1 2024: $-7.02Q2 2024: $-7.15Q3 2024: $-6.51Q4 2024: $-5.69Q1 2025: $-1.71Q2 2025: $-1.32Q3 2025: $-1.08Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26Forward: $0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.31—
Q3 2026-$0.26+$0.82
Q2 2026-$0.28+$1.04
Q1 2026-$0.39+$1.32
Q4 2025-$0.52+$5.17
Q3 2025-$1.08+$5.43
Q2 2025-$1.32+$5.83
Q1 2025-$1.71+$5.31
Q4 2024-$5.69-$2.28

ADTN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.26 per share over the past year, against $7.15 at its worst in mid-2024.

AMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
Q4 2023: $0.53Q1 2024: $0.69Q2 2024: $0.83Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $1.37Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $2.03Q4 2025: $2.65Q1 2026: $3.05Q2 2026: $3.89Q3 2026: $4.60Forward: $15.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.05+227%
Q3 2026$4.60+127%
Q2 2026$3.89+122%
Q1 2026$3.05+123%
Q4 2025$2.65+165%
Q3 2025$2.03+81%
Q2 2025$1.75+111%
Q1 2025$1.37+99%
Q4 2024$1.00+89%

AMD has the edge over ADTN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ADTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $225MQ1 2024: $226MQ2 2024: $226MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $292MQ1 2026: $286MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $281M
Q4 2023: $225MQ1 2024: $226MQ2 2024: $226MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $243MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $292MQ1 2026: $286MQ2 2026: $281MQ3 2026: $281M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281.2M+0.6%
Q2 2026$281.1M+6.1%
Q1 2026$286.1M+15%
Q4 2025$291.6M+20%
Q3 2025$279.4M+23%
Q2 2025$265.1M+17%
Q1 2025$247.7M+9.5%
Q4 2024$242.9M+7.7%

ADTN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $281M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.5BQ2 2024: $5.8BQ3 2024: $6.8BQ4 2024: $7.7BQ1 2025: $7.4BQ2 2025: $7.7BQ3 2025: $9.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $11.5BQ3 2026: $13.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.4B+45%
Q2 2026$11.5B+50%
Q1 2026$10.3B+38%
Q4 2025$10.3B+34%
Q3 2025$9.2B+36%
Q2 2025$7.7B+32%
Q1 2025$7.4B+36%
Q4 2024$7.7B+24%

AMD has the edge over ADTN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ADTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$895,000Q1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$30M
Q4 2023: −$26MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$895,000Q1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$30.2M-819%
Q2 2026$17M-38%
Q1 2026$5.2M-86%
Q4 2025$30.6M+$31.5M
Q3 2025$4.2M-82%
Q2 2025$27.5M+604%
Q1 2025$35.8M+54%
Q4 2024-$895K+$24.8M

ADTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$30M, but it generated $22M over the past year.

AMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $242MQ1 2024: $379MQ2 2024: $439MQ3 2024: $496MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$554M-71%
Q2 2026$1.6B-9.9%
Q1 2026$2.6B+253%
Q4 2025$2.4B+118%
Q3 2025$1.9B+283%
Q2 2025$1.7B+294%
Q1 2025$727M+92%
Q4 2024$1.1B+351%

AMD has the edge over ADTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ADTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+274K shares
1 year+1.8%+1.4M shares
3 years+3.6%+2.8M shares
5 years+64%+31.8M shares
Available history+70%+33.4M shares

ADTN has 81M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

AMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+20M shares
3 years+2%+32M shares
5 years+35%+431M shares
Available history+40%+473M shares

AMD has the edge over ADTN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ADTN Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 39.3xQ2 2025: 16.1xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q1 2025: 39.3xQ2 2025: 16.1xQ3 2025: 6.5xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20256.5xHigh
Q2 202516.1xHigh
Q1 202539.3xHigh
Q2 2022-7.4xNet Cash

ADTN's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.

AMD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-1.2xNet Cash

AMD has more cash than debt.

ADTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.6Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

ADTN's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic41.4Neutral

AMD's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ADTN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricADTNSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ADTN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMDSector medianRelative
PE127x28x357% above
PE %613526 pts above

AMD is trading at 127x earnings, a 357% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ADTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2222% below
20 week MA$7.9639% below
50 week MA$10.554% below
100 week MA$9.7350% below
200 week MA$8.9546% below

ADTN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$557.25.1% above
20 week MA$525.911% above
50 week MA$389.750% above
100 week MA$266.9119% above
200 week MA$199.6193% above

AMD has the edge over ADTN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ADTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.74$15.0+54%
2021$15.0$22.0+47%
2022$22.0$18.8-15%
2023$18.8$7.34-61%
2024$7.34$8.21+12%
2025$8.21$8.75+6.6%
2026 YTD$8.75$4.86-44%

ADTN is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

AMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.2$91.8+99%
2021$91.8$146.1+59%
2022$146.1$64.5-56%
2023$64.5$147.4+128%
2024$147.4$125.2-15%
2025$125.2$215.0+72%
2026 YTD$215.0$585.3+172%

AMD has the edge over ADTN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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